Kyren Williams ran for 85 and 80 yards in the Rams’ two wins this season. His 60-yard line gives an L.A.-win ticket a lower target to work with, while Matthew Stafford’s passing yards offer another familiar route.
These Rams parlay picks add a less familiar one: Blake Corum finishing below two catches. That combination of ground production, passing yards and a receiving under comes from looking at what has accompanied Rams wins, the starting point for this Side & Support edition.
The personnel make this more than a repeat of the old logs. Davante Adams is on injured reserve and Puka Nacua is questionable. Keep that changing passing game in mind as you compare the options.
Three props to consider with a Rams win
The records cover each player’s appearances with his current team over the past year, including playoffs.
| Player & prop | Odds | When LAR wins | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford 250+ passing yards |
−150 | 90.9% 10 of 11 Rams wins |
78.9% 15 of 19 games |
| Kyren Williams 60+ rushing yards |
−178 | 81.8% 9 of 11 Rams wins |
68.4% 13 of 19 games |
| Blake Corum Under 1.5 catches |
−175 | 90.9% 10 of 11 Rams wins |
73.7% 14 of 19 games |
Matthew Stafford: 250+ passing yards
Stafford’s 250+ passing yards is −150. He has topped that line in ten of the 11 Rams wins he played in over the past year, compared with 15 of 19 appearances overall.
Both victories this season got there, at 327 yards against the Giants and 317 at Philadelphia. His latest game went the other way: 222 yards in the loss to Arizona.
The only winning miss in the full-year comparison was a 130-yard outing last November. The Rams can win without a large passing total, and today’s receiving injuries add a reason to take that counterexample seriously.
Nacua’s final status matters to this option even though the prop is on Stafford. The older record includes a healthier receiving group; it doesn’t tell us exactly what this version of the offense will produce.
Kyren Williams: 60+ rushing yards
Williams’ 60+ rushing yards line is −178. He has reached it in nine of 11 Rams wins over the past year and 13 of 19 appearances overall.
The two winning totals this season, 85 and 80, give the line a useful recent foothold. Across all six games, though, his rushing yards have been 41, 85, 88, 80, 49 and 50.
That leaves the latest two games below today’s requirement. His two older winning misses were 46 yards and 57 yards, the latter in the playoffs. You’re asking for the kind of ground production seen in those two current-season wins, rather than something he has supplied every week.
Corum also has a share of the rushing work. A Rams victory alone doesn’t settle how the carries will be divided.
Blake Corum: under 1.5 catches
Corum’s under 1.5 catches is −175. It has hit in ten of 11 Rams wins over the past year, compared with 14 of 19 appearances overall.
He caught one pass in each of the two wins this season. The larger winning record has one miss: a two-catch playoff outing in January.
The latest receiving work is the reason to be selective. Corum caught three passes against Buffalo and two against Arizona, so both recent losses beat this under. Across all six games this year, it has landed three times.
With Adams out and Nacua’s availability unresolved, don’t assume the backs’ targets stay fixed. This is a strong winning-game record with a very low line and clear recent counterevidence.
Rams parlay picks: choosing your support
Stafford supplies the passing-yardage route, Williams the rushing option and Corum the catch under. Their latest games show why the table should start the comparison rather than finish it.
Put Nacua’s status and the backfield’s current involvement near the top of your decision. Those details matter more than adding another prop simply because its older winning record looks tidy.
Check the final active list, exact lines and your sportsbook’s SGP price before choosing your support. These individual DraftKings prices are snapshots and can change.
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