Shane Pinto got on the scoresheet in nine Ottawa wins this season, the same number as Tim Stützle. If you’re backing the Senators against Colorado, compare Pinto’s points in Ottawa wins with Devon Toews’s assists in Avalanche losses. One line looks at Ottawa’s scoring depth, and the other asks whether Toews will set up a goal.
Player props to compare for a Senators win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Pinto Over 0.5 points |
+100 | 81.8% 9 of 11 Ottawa wins 2026–27 regular season |
63.2% 12 of 19 appearances |
| Devon Toews Under 0.5 assists |
−260 | 81.5% 22 of 27 Colorado losses 2025–26 and 2026–27 regular seasons |
69.0% 60 of 87 appearances |
Shane Pinto over 0.5 points
DraftKings had Pinto at +100 and Stützle at −215 to record a point. Both got there in nine of 11 Ottawa wins this season. Stützle had a point in 14 of 19 appearances overall, compared with 12 for Pinto. Pinto pays more at the quoted prices. Stützle’s stronger all-game record is part of the tradeoff.
Pinto scored against Buffalo and had a goal and an assist against Utah in two of Ottawa’s recent wins. He also went without a point in wins over both New York teams. Across the past two regular seasons, he scored or assisted in 37 of 50 Ottawa wins and 50 of 91 appearances overall.
Devon Toews under 0.5 assists
Toews went without an assist in 22 of 27 Colorado losses across the past two regular seasons, compared with 60 of 87 appearances overall. In the current season alone he did so in six of eight losses. At −260, the stronger two-season record is doing much of the work. Toews had an assist in two of Colorado’s eight losses this season.
Toronto and Philadelphia each beat Colorado in October even though Toews picked up an assist. He also had a goal and an assist in Colorado’s latest win over Toronto. The under can still land if he scores himself, as it did in October’s loss to Nashville.
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Which prop fits an Ottawa win?
Pinto’s point fits a game where Ottawa gets offense from more than its top line. The Toews under fits if you see the Senators limiting his chances to set up teammates. If you expect both teams to create chances, Pinto can get his point even if Toews contributes to Colorado’s scoring.
See the live Avalanche–Senators matchup for updated lines, or browse more NHL articles.
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