Trevor Connelly has stayed below two shots on goal in all five Vegas losses he’s played in this season. That under is +115 tonight—a more adventurous price to consider around an Ottawa win, with only five losses behind the record.
These Senators parlay picks also include William Karlsson finishing without an assist. Side & Support looks at the quieter individual nights that have accompanied Vegas losses, letting you compare Connelly’s short shot sample with Karlsson’s longer passing record.
Two props to weigh with a Senators win
Records cover each player’s games for his current team since the start of the 2025–26 season, including the playoffs.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Karlsson under 0.5 assists |
−340 | 82.4% 14 of 17 VGK losses |
71.4% 30 of 42 games |
| Trevor Connelly under 1.5 shots on goal |
+115 | 100.0% 5 of 5 VGK losses |
53.8% 7 of 13 games |
William Karlsson: under 0.5 assists
Karlsson has gone without an assist in his last three games, all Golden Knights losses. He played about 16 minutes in each, so the recent sequence comes from regular involvement.
The −340 line is much more expensive than Connelly’s shot under. He has finished without an assist in all five Vegas losses this season, and fourteen of seventeen in his longer Vegas sample. That is more history, but still a smaller loss sample than many established full-season records.
Trevor Connelly: under 1.5 shots on goal
Connelly’s last three shot totals were one, zero and one, all Vegas losses. His minutes ranged from roughly 14 to 16 in those games. Staying under requires one shot or none; exactly two would beat it.
The +115 price is the attraction alongside the five-for-five loss record. The counterweight is just thirteen Vegas appearances in total, with only seven staying under across all results. This is an early pattern to consider carefully, not a perfect record with a long history behind it.
Senators parlay picks: choosing your support
Karlsson offers more Vegas history at a steep price. Connelly offers the bigger payout and the smaller sample. Both fit an Ottawa-win view through particular Golden Knights staying quiet, but that contrast matters more than the perfect current-season loss percentages.
Individual DraftKings prices can change. Follow the live Senators–Golden Knights matchup for game lines and player information, or browse more NHL articles.
Unlock our Premium picks. Free.
Get our sharpest picks, team grades, and projected score in your inbox.

