Deni Avdija has cleared eighteen points in Portland wins often enough to make the next step up worth questioning. Eighteen and twenty sound close, but six Trail Blazers wins in the longer history below landed between those targets. The extra scoring room comes with a noticeably heavier price.
For a Portland win over San Antonio, these Trail Blazers parlay picks offer three ways to approach the supporting props: Avdija’s lower scoring target, Damian Lillard’s points, and Scoot Henderson’s assist under. Side & Support compares each player’s record in Portland wins with all his appearances over the same period. A Blazers victory is the scenario here; the individual records help you decide which contribution fits your view of it.
Trail Blazers parlay picks: scoring room and an assist under
Avdija’s row covers his Portland regular-season appearances since October 1, 2025. Lillard and Henderson use this season’s Portland appearances, with only six wins apiece in their comparisons. The longer comparisons include this season’s games. Individual DraftKings odds are November 7 snapshots and can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | Portland wins | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija 18+ points Since Oct. 1, 2025 · Portland |
−339 | 95.1% 39 of 41 POR wins |
86.5% 64 of 74 appearances |
| Damian Lillard 18+ points This season · Portland |
−208 | 100.0% 6 of 6 POR wins |
87.5% 7 of 8 appearances |
| Scoot Henderson Under 3.5 assists This season · Portland |
−132 | 100.0% 6 of 6 POR wins |
100.0% 8 of 8 appearances |
Deni Avdija 18+ points (−339)
Avdija gives you the longer scoring record of these three options. He’s reached eighteen in all eight Portland appearances this season, including all six wins. He finished with exactly eighteen in the opening Phoenix win, then twenty-one in the latest win over the Suns. Friday’s Lakers loss brought twenty-two in thirty-nine minutes, so this scoring contribution has also survived games Portland didn’t win.
The choice is how much scoring room you want to pay for. Twenty points was offered at −218, compared with −339 for eighteen. Over the longer Portland window, twenty reached thirty-three of forty-one wins and fifty-six of seventy-four appearances overall. Eighteen recovered six more winning games. The opener this season is one of those examples; it cleared the lower target and missed twenty.
The lower target still has misses. Avdija finished with seventeen in thirty-two minutes against Utah last March, and an earlier Phoenix win included a one-minute, scoreless appearance. Both count in the table. His current run supports the lower line, but the older roster was different, and a high historical rate doesn’t make that heavy price automatically attractive.
Damian Lillard 18+ points (−208)
Lillard’s scoring target lets you leave his assists and rebounds out of the bet. He’s scored at least eighteen in each of Portland’s six wins this season, playing between twenty-four and thirty-three minutes in those victories. The whole record is still only eight appearances; extending the Portland search into last season adds no games.
Sacramento shows why eighteen deserves a look beside twenty. Lillard scored nineteen in that win. The twenty-point offer at −135 reached five of the six wins and six of eight appearances overall, while eighteen at −208 included one more game in each comparison. Fifteen points cost −443 and reached the same games as eighteen in this sample.
He followed twenty-five against Phoenix with twenty-two in thirty-seven minutes against the Lakers, despite Portland losing. The miss was more substantial than falling a point short: Memphis held him to nine in thirty minutes. There’s a useful lower target here, but six winning games are still a small foundation for judging it.
Scoot Henderson under 3.5 assists (−132)
A Portland win doesn’t require every guard to pile up assists. Henderson has finished below four in all eight appearances this season, including six wins. His last four games have all been starts, with one, two, one and zero assists. The latest zero came in twenty-three minutes against the Lakers; the Utah win brought one in thirty-one minutes.
That makes the under worth considering beyond his early bench role. Four of the eight appearances came off the bench, though, and his opportunity is still changing. Ja Morant is listed out with a hamstring injury, while Henderson is an expected, unconfirmed starter against San Antonio. A larger share of the ball could change this picture.
The longer Portland record is the strongest reason to be cautious: since October 1, 2025, this assist under reached only twelve of twenty-four wins and twenty-four of thirty-eight appearances overall. The current eight-for-eight run is encouraging for this role, but it isn’t a longstanding pattern. Henderson’s points-plus-assists under 17.5 at −123 also reached the same eight current games; the assist under costs a little more while keeping his scoring out of the equation.
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Choose the contribution you want
Avdija’s eighteen-point target has the longer Portland record, at the highest price. Lillard asks for the same scoring total at a lower cost, backed by only eight appearances. Henderson offers a different route if you expect Portland’s creation to stay elsewhere, with his weaker older assist record the main reservation.
These choices share the same offense: more shots or ballhandling for one guard can change another player’s opportunities. You can use the option that fits your Portland-win view without taking all three, and their separate records don’t establish a combined parlay probability or price.
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