Golden State beat New Orleans by 51, and Draymond Green still came up a rebound short of four. If you’re backing the Warriors in Houston, it’s worth asking what kind of night Green needs on the glass.
For these Warriors parlay picks, a Golden State win gives us two places to look: Green’s rebounds in Warriors wins and Kevin Durant’s points in Rockets losses. Durant scored at least 20 in all three Houston losses he played this season, so there’s room for his points even if you’re taking Golden State.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green 4+ rebounds Golden State appearances since 2024–25 |
−351 | 83.9% 73 of 87 Warriors wins |
81.3% 130 of 160 appearances |
| Kevin Durant 20+ points Houston appearances since 2025–26 |
−192 | 82.4% 28 of 34 Rockets losses |
81.1% 73 of 90 appearances |
Draymond Green to grab 4+ rebounds
Green got to four in six of seven Warriors wins he played this season. He had six in 34 minutes against Orlando, but four was all he got against Phoenix, the Lakers and Denver. He still made it in just 17 minutes against Phoenix, so the 21-minute night against New Orleans only tells part of the story.
Four sounds modest, but at −351 you’re paying a steep price for a number he’s had little room to spare on in several recent wins. His longer Golden State record is only a little better in wins than it is overall.
Kevin Durant to score 20+ points
Durant scored 21 against Phoenix, 21 against Minnesota and 28 against Dallas in those three Houston losses. He played at least 35 minutes in each. If you see Houston keeping this close enough for Durant to get his usual minutes, the 20-point mark at −192 fits that read.
That’s only three losses this season, and his longer Houston record barely changes when you look at losses alone. He’s also had quieter nights this season, scoring 12 against Boston and 14 against Oklahoma City in Rockets wins.
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Which prop fits a Warriors win?
If you expect a close game, Durant offers a bigger payout per dollar than Green at these individual prices. Green is the one to weigh if your read is about Golden State’s work on the glass and you’re comfortable paying for four.
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