Brandin Podziemski finished Sunday’s win over the Clippers with eight rebounds and eight assists. For Monday’s visit from Phoenix, the more useful question is how much of that production was already present before his 37-minute night: he had at least five rebounds and five assists in each of his previous three Golden State wins, playing 32–33 minutes in those games.
These Warriors parlay picks start with a hypothetical Golden State win at Chase Center on November 2, with tipoff at 10 p.m. Eastern. The saved Monday morning DraftKings snapshot quoted the Warriors at −149. Podziemski’s five-assist and five-rebound offers provide two ways to express his current role; Dillon Brooks’ scoring offers a Phoenix contribution that has often survived Suns defeats.
The distinction between the samples matters. Podziemski’s figures below cover all five of his appearances this season, including his two-rebound, three-assist miss against Memphis. He has started all five and averaged 33.6 minutes, compared with 28.7 minutes across 84 appearances last season, when he started 45 times. Brooks’ figures cover his full previous and current seasons with Phoenix. None of these historical rates is a forecast or proof that a parlay is good value.
Supporting options for a Warriors win
Individual prices were checked at DraftKings on November 2 at 10:17 a.m. EST. The conditional column means Warriors wins for Podziemski and Suns losses for Brooks; the last column uses the same player’s appearances, club and dates without filtering the team result. Podziemski’s current-season sample has four wins in five appearances. Brooks’ longer sample includes 32 Phoenix losses in 66 appearances.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski 5+ assists this season |
+123 | 100.0% 4 of 4 Warriors wins |
80.0% 4 of 5 appearances |
| Brandin Podziemski 5+ rebounds this season |
−157 | 100.0% 4 of 4 Warriors wins |
80.0% 4 of 5 appearances |
| Dillon Brooks 12+ points previous + current seasons |
−273 | 87.5% 28 of 32 Suns losses |
87.9% 58 of 66 appearances |
Brandin Podziemski: 5+ assists (+123)
Five assists has cleared in all four Warriors wins in Podziemski’s current season and four of his five appearances overall. The winning sequence is five against Denver, six against Minnesota, six against the Lakers and eight against the Clippers. The Denver result is useful perspective: one fewer assist would have broken this perfect four-win record.
At +123, this is the only plus-money option in the table. DraftKings’ four-assist milestone costs −175 and has exactly the same four-of-four winning record and four-of-five all-game record in this sample. Moving up to six assists pays +248, but removes the Denver clear and leaves three of four wins and three of five appearances. Five is the highest offered assist milestone that preserves every current winning clear.
The case rests on his larger starting role, with an early limit attached. Across the full previous and current seasons, five assists cleared in only 19 of 42 Golden State wins and 30 of 89 appearances. That older record does not establish a durable five-assist floor. Even in a 33-minute current-season start against Memphis, he finished with three assists. Court time creates opportunities; teammates still have to finish those passes.
Sunday’s eight assists also came while Stephen Curry and Draymond Green rested. Their absence reports concern that Clippers game, so they do not establish who will play Monday. Podziemski’s earlier three winning clears make the argument broader than one shorthanded night, but Monday’s ballhandling distribution remains relevant. Treat five assists as a current-role option with a small sample, especially if Curry and Green return to larger offensive roles.
Brandin Podziemski: 5+ rebounds (−157)
The rebound option has the same headline record—four of four Warriors wins and four of five appearances this season—but a different price and margin. Podziemski collected seven, five, five and eight rebounds in those wins. Minnesota and the Lakers therefore cleared five exactly; Sunday’s eight should not make the lower results disappear.
The saved quote for five rebounds is −157. Four rebounds costs −331 without adding a clear in this current-season sample. Six rebounds pays +121, but only Denver and the Clippers qualify: two of four wins and two of five appearances. The five-rebound line preserves the middle two winning games while avoiding the heavier price of the four-rebound offer.
The role evidence supports looking at the complete new season, rather than carrying forward an old rotation unchanged. Podziemski has started every one of his five appearances and played at least 32 minutes each time. Still, his two rebounds against Memphis show that even a full starting shift can fall short. In the combined previous and current seasons, five rebounds cleared in 26 of 42 Warriors wins and 50 of 89 appearances, substantially weaker than the four-win opening run.
Choose between the assist and rebound routes according to the contribution you want to back. They are two markets on the same player and the same four wins, so including both does not provide two independent pieces of evidence. Reduced minutes would threaten both; a change in who handles the ball could affect assists differently from rebounding chances. Neither requires Podziemski to repeat Sunday’s eight-and-eight line.
Dillon Brooks: 12+ points (−273)
A Warriors win does not require every Suns scorer to struggle. Brooks reached 12 points in 28 of 32 Phoenix losses across his previous and current seasons with the club, an 87.5% record. He cleared in 58 of 66 appearances overall (87.9%). The near-identical baseline is the honest interpretation: this is a scoring contribution that has frequently held up in defeats, without evidence of an extra boost from losing.
His current season is less decisive: two of three Suns losses and three of four appearances. He scored 19 against Oklahoma City and 22 in the latest loss to Denver, after missing with 10 in 27 minutes against Portland. In Phoenix’s win over Golden State, he scored 15 in 34 minutes. The Portland miss stays in the record; twelve is a modest target, not an automatic one.
The cost is the tradeoff. At −273, Brooks is the most expensive option here. His 15-point milestone pays −131, but its longer losing-game record falls to 26 of 32, with 52 of 66 clears overall. Lowering the target from 15 to 12 buys two additional clears in Phoenix losses and six across all appearances. That improvement can be compared with the much shorter price, without calling the shorter price inherently better value.
Brooks is projected to start at small forward, with Monday’s lineup still unconfirmed. His four current appearances range from 21 to 34 minutes; the latest 22-point outing came in just 21. That shows the target can be met without a long shift, while Portland shows that more minutes alone do not ensure enough points. This option depends on Brooks sustaining his own scoring opportunities even if Golden State wins.
Use the alternatives without overstating the evidence
Podziemski’s assist option offers the plus-money route; his rebound option preserves the same current winning sample at a shorter price. Brooks adds a contribution from the losing-side scenario with a much longer record, but also the highest cost and a current-season miss. These are choices to compare around a Warriors-win premise, rather than a requirement to combine every row.
Check Monday’s confirmed participants and the exact available prices before using that premise. Gui Santos is listed out for Monday, while the Curry and Green rest reports refer to Sunday; those are different availability facts. The rates above describe completed games, not the chance that a Warriors moneyline and any supporting markets will all land together. Follow the Suns–Warriors event page for this matchup and the NBA article archive for more coverage.
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