Brock Purdy turned a third-and-15 into a first down with his legs against Las Vegas. If you’re backing San Francisco in Dallas on Sunday, Nov. 15, his rushing line offers one way to play a 49ers win. San Francisco’s run defense gives you another.
The teams kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET at AT&T Stadium. Here’s how the individual DraftKings props have fared when the 49ers win or the Cowboys lose, alongside each player’s full record over the same stretch.
Player props for a 49ers win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy Over 20.5 rushing yards |
−113 | 85.7% 6 of 7 SF wins |
75.0% 6 of 8 games |
| Javonte Williams Under 60.5 rushing yards |
−110 | 80.0% 4 of 5 DAL losses |
55.6% 5 of 9 games |
| CeeDee Lamb No touchdown |
−120 | 92.3% 12 of 13 DAL losses |
65.2% 15 of 23 games |
Brock Purdy over 20.5 rushing yards
Purdy already has 201 rushing yards in eight games, up from 147 in nine last regular season. He had 40 on seven carries against Las Vegas. At −113, you need 21 yards, and one scramble like that third-down conversion can cover most of the distance. He managed only six yards against Seattle despite carrying five times, so the room to run matters even when San Francisco wins.
Javonte Williams under 60.5 rushing yards
San Francisco has allowed 3.3 yards per carry. Williams’ game against Arizona shows how the under can hold even if Dallas keeps handing him the ball. He had 24 carries and finished with 56 yards. The Baltimore loss shows the other side. Williams ran for 98 on 19 carries, and with backup Tyler Goodson on injured reserve, Dallas has a reason to lean on Williams again. At −110, this comes down to whether the 49ers can keep those carries short.
CeeDee Lamb to go without a touchdown
Lamb put up 112 yards without a touchdown in the Baltimore loss, so Dallas can keep throwing to him while this prop stays alive. George Pickens is back, which gives Dak Prescott another option near the goal line. There’s real risk at −120, though. Lamb scored against the Giants in a loss and just had 195 yards and a touchdown against Indianapolis. Several San Francisco defensive backs are questionable. He went scoreless in four of five Dallas losses this season. The two-season loss split includes his early exit at Chicago and still comes to 11 of 12 without that game.
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Which prop fits your read?
Williams’ under is the more direct fit if your case for San Francisco starts with the 49ers winning up front. Purdy’s over fits if you expect him to keep drives going when the pocket breaks down. These prices are for individual props. Check the current number and any same-game parlay price before combining them.
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