Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has a block in each of Oklahoma City’s eight wins this season. At Portland on Tuesday he even blocked Chris Youngblood’s three. His defense gives you a different way to follow the Thunder at Sacramento on Sunday.
If you’re backing Oklahoma City to win, watch how often its guards get a hand on a shot. Sacramento can still get a full night of production from Domantas Sabonis, who put up 21 points, 12 rebounds and five assists in Friday’s loss.
Player props for a Thunder win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 1+ block |
−161 | 100.0% 8 of 8 OKC wins |
69.2% 9 of 13 games |
| Domantas Sabonis Over 31.5 points + rebounds + assists |
−115 | 80.0% 8 of 10 SAC losses |
72.7% 8 of 11 games |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to record a block
He had one block in nearly 39 minutes in the win at Cleveland. Against Sacramento, look for him to close hard when the ball comes out to a shooter, or recover from the side when a guard gets into the lane. The Youngblood play is an example of how he can get there away from the rim.
Six of those eight wins landed on exactly one block. He played almost 39 minutes again on Friday and had none against the Clippers. A long shift gives him more chances, but this prop can hinge on a single contest.
Domantas Sabonis over 31.5 points + rebounds + assists
Sabonis reached 38 combined in Friday’s loss to Portland. The NBA’s 9 a.m. ET injury report listed Oklahoma City’s Chet Holmgren and Jaylin Williams out. If the Thunder have to send help when Sabonis gets a deep catch, he can find a cutter. A long shift also gives him time to make up ground on the boards.
The eight hits in 10 losses account for all eight hits in 11 appearances. With only one Kings win in his sample, the loss split adds little beyond showing how often he can get there on a losing night. His scoreless 24 minutes against Orlando after missing a game with a sore knee show the downside if his time and shot volume drop.
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What to watch early at Golden 1 Center
For the block, watch whether Gilgeous-Alexander is close enough to challenge Sacramento’s first few drives and kick-outs. For Sabonis, look for early catches in the paint and chances to pass to cutters. Those touches help his over even when Oklahoma City controls the score.
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