Philadelphia was down 13 after three quarters the first time it played Indiana. The Sixers scored 39 in the fourth to win, and LeBron James finished with 10 assists. They’ll have to find some of those baskets a different way with Joel Embiid out for the rematch.
If you see the 76ers winning again, look at what James can do as a passer and rebounder, and whether Jaylen Brown can take a possession away. Obi Toppin gives you a way to follow what Indiana’s bench can still produce in that game.
Player props for a 76ers win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James Over 13.5 rebounds + assists |
−116 | 85.7% 6 of 7 PHI wins |
60.0% 6 of 10 games |
| Jaylen Brown 1+ steals |
−265 | 100.0% 9 of 9 PHI wins |
91.7% 11 of 12 games |
| Obi Toppin Over 15.5 points + rebounds + assists |
−121 | 100.0% 5 of 5 IND losses |
80.0% 8 of 10 games |
LeBron James over 13.5 rebounds + assists
James had 10 assists and five rebounds in the first Indiana game. With Embiid out, James can still create for Tyrese Maxey and the other guards. If he spends time at center, watch whether he can collect the rebounds himself while keeping those passing opportunities.
He’s cleared 13.5 in six of his seven Philadelphia wins. Embiid played in all six. In the one game James played without him, he started at center against Detroit and had just two rebounds and five assists. More minutes near the basket can change the type of work he does, and the first meeting had Embiid available as a finisher.
Jaylen Brown to record a steal
Brown had one steal in the first meeting and two against Toronto, including a takeaway from RJ Barrett that led to a fast-break layup early in the fourth. Andrew Nembhard is questionable, and if Indiana has to lean on other ball handlers, watch for Brown stepping into passing lanes when the Pacers try to move the ball away from pressure.
Brown has a steal in all nine Sixers wins he’s played and in 11 of 12 games overall. The high all-game rate makes this more about Brown’s role than the result. At −265, you’re paying for the lower target, and exactly one steal was enough in six of the nine wins.
Obi Toppin over 15.5 points + rebounds + assists
Toppin scored 13 and grabbed six rebounds off the bench in the first meeting. He cleared the same total a different way in Dallas, with 10 points, two rebounds and four assists. If Indiana needs a spark from the bench, a few extra touches can give him more than one path to 16.
He’s reached 16 in all five losses he’s played, compared with eight of 10 appearances overall. Playing time is worth watching. He had 13 combined in 16 minutes against the Knicks, his second straight game at about 16 minutes.
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What kind of Philadelphia win do you see?
James’s combined line fits if you expect him to run the offense and help on the glass. If you’re less sure what his job looks like without Embiid, Brown only needs one takeaway, at a steeper price. Toppin’s over fits a game where Indiana still gets enough from its bench to keep Philadelphia working.
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