The Lakers have won seven straight and will try to extend that run in Phoenix without Austin Reaves. The possessions their defense can win may matter a little more with one of their main scorers out.
If you see the Lakers winning, Matisse Thybulle’s steals give you a way to follow their pressure. Devin Booker’s assists and Dillon Brooks’ rebounds show two different ways Phoenix might respond.
Player props for a Lakers win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matisse Thybulle Over 1.5 steals |
−158 | 81.8% 9 of 11 LAL wins |
76.9% 10 of 13 games |
| Devin Booker Under 5.5 assists |
−152 | 83.3% 5 of 6 PHO losses |
63.6% 7 of 11 games |
| Dillon Brooks Over 3.5 rebounds |
+112 | 83.3% 5 of 6 PHO losses |
63.6% 7 of 11 games |
Matisse Thybulle over 1.5 steals
Thybulle has picked up at least two steals in five straight Lakers wins. In Atlanta, he picked off a Kingston Flemings pass in the first quarter. That’s the kind of play this over needs. Watch whether he gets chances to jump passes when Phoenix moves the ball around the perimeter.
He’s cleared the line in 9 of 11 Lakers wins and 10 of 13 games overall, so the win split adds only a little here. Four of his nine winning covers landed on exactly two steals. He also went without a steal in a win over Miami. At −158, there’s a premium for a line that has often cleared by one takeaway.
Devin Booker under 5.5 assists
Booker scored 32 points with four assists in a loss to San Antonio. If the Lakers can stay close to his teammates and leave him to finish possessions himself, he can still have a big scoring night while this under hits.
The under has hit in five of six Suns losses and seven of 11 games overall. Two of those five loss unders stopped at five. Oklahoma City showed the other way it can go, when Booker handed out seven assists on a three-point night. Sending a second defender at him gives Phoenix a chance to score off his passes.
Dillon Brooks over 3.5 rebounds
Brooks pulled down eight rebounds, seven on defense, in a loss to Golden State. If Phoenix’s center spends possessions boxing out Walker Kessler, Brooks can help finish those stops from the wing. That role can still be there if Phoenix is having trouble scoring.
He’s grabbed four or more in five of six Suns losses and seven of 11 games overall. Two of those five loss covers landed on exactly four, and he managed one board in 21 minutes against Denver. The plus price gives you a different choice from the two shorter lines, but you still need Brooks to collect some of the misses before Phoenix’s bigs do.
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Which prop fits the game you expect?
Thybulle’s steals fit if you expect pressure to create extra possessions for Los Angeles. Booker’s under depends more on the Lakers staying with his passing options. If you expect Phoenix’s wings to help finish defensive possessions, Brooks gives you a way to follow that part of the game.
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