Auston Matthews’ last two appearances produced one point each—a goal at Edmonton, then an assist at Calgary. That’s all his 1+ points milestone needs, giving Maple Leafs parlay picks a smaller target than another multi-point night.
If you’re backing Toronto in Seattle, the alternative is to look for a quieter contribution from the Kraken’s forwards. Mackie Samoskevich’s no-point market and Bobby McMann’s no-assist market ask for different things. This Side & Support edition compares those two options with a Matthews point around a Toronto victory, so you can choose the route that fits your view of the game.
Three player options around a Maple Leafs win
The table uses each player’s appearances for his current team, from the previous season and this season where available. McMann’s Seattle history begins in March; Samoskevich’s begins this October. Each baseline covers the same dates and appearances as its team-result comparison. The five Seattle losses in Samoskevich’s row are a particularly small sample. Individual DraftKings prices are snapshots and can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All appearances |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews 1+ point |
−310 | 81.8% 27 of 33 TOR wins |
63.5% 47 of 74 appearances |
| Mackie Samoskevich Under 0.5 points |
−170 | 100.0% 5 of 5 SEA losses |
54.5% 6 of 11 appearances |
| Bobby McMann Under 0.5 assists |
−310 | 94.4% 17 of 18 SEA losses |
80.0% 24 of 30 appearances |
Auston Matthews: 1+ point at −310
Matthews recorded at least one point in 27 of 33 Toronto wins (81.8%), compared with 47 of 74 Toronto appearances overall (63.5%) in the matched previous-season and current-season sample. This is the actual offered 1+ points milestone: one goal or one assist is enough. It does not require two points, and the market should not be confused with his main over 1.5 points line.
His current-season record is less emphatic: a point in five of seven wins and ten of fourteen appearances. Toronto’s 5–4 win over the Rangers on October 22 is an especially useful warning. Matthews had four shots in 19:16 but no point, so a productive team attack did not automatically bring him along. He followed that with a goal in the 7–2 win at Edmonton and an assist in the 5–2 loss at Calgary.
The expected top-line center role gives this route a clear place in a Toronto scoring story, but the line is unconfirmed. At −310, the price also asks you to accept a short individual return. The longer win record is stronger than the current five-of-seven comparison. Use this as a modest scoring requirement if you want a Toronto player involved; it is less persuasive if your view depends on Matthews driving the entire offense himself.
Mackie Samoskevich: under 0.5 points at −170
Samoskevich went without a point in all five Seattle losses in his current-club sample, against six of eleven Seattle appearances overall (54.5%). That contrast makes the no-point market relevant to a Toronto-win premise. It also rests on just five losses, so the perfect record deserves less weight than its 100.0% headline might suggest. No Florida games have been added to make the denominator larger.
There is current scoring ability to respect. Samoskevich scored in each of Seattle’s two most recent wins, against Detroit and Utah, before going pointless in the 5–1 loss to Minnesota. His most recent appearance still included 16:21 of ice time and 2:43 on the power play. The under therefore needs his chances to go unconverted; it cannot rely on him being absent or barely playing.
He is listed on the expected second line. Under 0.5 points loses to either a goal or an assist. At −170 it offers a longer individual return than the −300 no-assist alternative, but requires more: a goal would beat the point under while leaving the assist under intact. That is the useful choice here, rather than treating the two related markets as separate evidence for a bigger ticket.
Bobby McMann: under 0.5 assists at −310
McMann finished without an assist in 17 of 18 Seattle losses (94.4%), compared with 24 of 30 Seattle appearances overall (80.0%). His Seattle-only record starts on March 14 Eastern and includes this season; none of his earlier Toronto appearances is attributed to the Kraken. The one loss with an assist came against Buffalo on March 28.
The current-season comparison supports the older results: no assist in all five losses and ten of twelve appearances overall. His recent sequence also shows the limit of the pattern. He supplied an assist in Seattle’s 5–3 win over Utah, then had none in the Minnesota loss. Against Minnesota he played 16:25, including 2:37 on the power play, and took two shots. His expected first-line role leaves meaningful opportunities to make the final pass.
The assist under permits McMann to score a goal; it only requires that he not record an assist. That gives it a different demand from Samoskevich’s no-point market, albeit at a shorter −310 price. For a reader expecting Seattle to generate some offense even in defeat, that distinction may be more useful than trying to shut out a player completely. It still does not measure how often these two unders land together.
Which supporting route fits your Toronto view?
Matthews 1+ point is the direct way to keep the supporting selection on Toronto’s side: one scoring contribution is sufficient, but two of his seven wins this season came without one. Samoskevich under 0.5 points has the longer return among these choices and the clearest recent loss contrast, with the smallest loss sample. McMann under 0.5 assists brings more Seattle history and lets him score, at the cost of a shorter price.
A quiet Seattle attack could help both unders, so don’t treat them as unrelated ways to win. If you combine selections, use the sportsbook’s actual same-game quote rather than multiplying these separate historical records.
Follow the live Maple Leafs–Kraken matchup for current game information, and explore more NHL analysis for the rest of the slate.
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