Dylan Guenther put four shots on net without an assist in Utah’s 6–3 loss to Philadelphia on Sunday. Vincent Trocheck had an assist, but his two shots are what matter for his line here. Both props can land even if Utah scores a few goals.
DraftKings listed Toronto at +110. If you’re backing the Maple Leafs, consider whether Utah can get Trocheck two shots on goal and whether Toronto can keep Guenther from setting up a goal.
Compare Guenther’s assist under and Trocheck’s shots over
Both comparisons use each player’s Utah appearances. Guenther’s record spans this season and last. Trocheck’s 15 games with Utah all came this season.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Guenther Under 0.5 assists 2025–26 and 2026–27 Utah appearances |
−150 | 87.2% (41/47) Mammoth losses |
68.0% (68/100) |
| Vincent Trocheck Over 1.5 shots on goal 2026–27 Utah appearances |
−115 | 100.0% (6/6) Mammoth losses |
60.0% (9/15) |
Dylan Guenther under 0.5 assists (−150)
Guenther went without an assist in 41 of 47 Utah losses and 68 of 100 appearances overall. He has gone without one in all six Utah losses this season and in 11 of 15 appearances overall.
Guenther is projected to skate with Clayton Keller and Nick Schmaltz on Utah’s first line. He can shoot often or score himself and still stay under, as he did with a goal and no assists against Tampa Bay in October. One assist beats the under. He had an assist in six Utah losses last season, including one against Vegas.
Vincent Trocheck over 1.5 shots on goal (−115)
Trocheck put at least two shots on net in all six Utah losses and nine of 15 Utah appearances overall. He had five shots in the 3–1 loss to Minnesota and exactly two against Philadelphia. He’s projected to center Logan Cooley and Lawson Crouse on Utah’s second line.
At −115, this is the cheaper of the two individual offers, but the record in losses covers only six games. Trocheck finished with one shot against New Jersey and zero against Buffalo. The case for the over rests on Utah getting him two shots on net even if Toronto wins.
Which Utah outcome fits your Toronto pick?
Guenther’s under gives you the deeper record and can still hit if he scores himself. Trocheck’s over gives you the lower price and can hit without a Utah goal. If you see Utah getting shots without needing much from its top line, weigh Trocheck’s lower price against how little history there is with him on the Mammoth.
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