Kirill Kaprizov has recorded a point in all twelve Minnesota wins this season. Joel Eriksson Ek has joined him on the scoresheet in eleven of those wins, at a much lighter price for one point. That’s the first choice if you’re backing the Wild against Tampa Bay: how much do you want to pay for the longer record?
These Wild parlay picks use Minnesota wins to examine Kaprizov and Eriksson Ek, and Tampa Bay losses to examine Anthony Cirelli’s assist under. Each is compared with all of that player’s games over the same period. You can build around a Wild scoring contribution or a Lightning player finishing without an assist, without needing all three props.
Wild parlay picks: two point options and an assist under
Kaprizov and Cirelli’s rows cover regular-season appearances with their current clubs since October 1, 2025, including this season. Eriksson Ek’s row covers this season’s Minnesota appearances; his twelve wins are a smaller sample. Individual DraftKings prices are November 7 snapshots and can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | MIN wins / TB losses | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov 1+ point |
−330 | 83.9% 47 of 56 MIN wins · since Oct. 2025 |
75.0% 72 of 96 appearances · since Oct. 2025 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek Over 0.5 points |
−150 | 91.7% 11 of 12 MIN wins · this season |
72.2% 13 of 18 appearances · this season |
| Anthony Cirelli Under 0.5 assists |
−310 | 83.9% 26 of 31 TB losses · since Oct. 2025 |
69.8% 60 of 86 appearances · since Oct. 2025 |
Kirill Kaprizov 1+ point (−330)
Kaprizov’s latest four-point night against San Jose was impressive, but his previous two wins make the one-point option easier to understand. He scored against Washington, then supplied an assist against Philadelphia. Both counted here; neither reached two points.
The two-point milestone was +130, compared with −330 for one. He reached it in seven of Minnesota’s twelve wins this season, compared with nine of eighteen games overall. You’re paying a substantial price to let a single goal or assist do the job, rather than asking him to repeat the San Jose production.
An anytime goal at +100 was another available route, with goals in ten of those twelve wins and twelve of eighteen games overall. The assist-only nights against Vegas and Philadelphia show what you give up for that payout. Across his Minnesota regular-season appearances since October 1, 2025, the one-point target covered thirteen more wins than a goal alone: 47 of 56 versus 34 of 56. Across all games in that same span, the records were 72 of 96 for a point and 49 of 96 for a goal.
There are still scoreless victories in that longer record. He had five shots and no points in a 5–2 win over Seattle late last season, and also went without a point in a 5–2 playoff win over Dallas. This season’s perfect winning record is encouraging, but a Wild win can arrive without him on the scoresheet.
Joel Eriksson Ek over 0.5 points (−150)
Eriksson Ek gives you the same goal-or-assist route at a lower cost. In Minnesota’s last three wins, he contributed two assists against Washington, a goal against Philadelphia and an assist against San Jose. He’s listed at center on Minnesota’s expected first line.
The lower price comes with a less convincing older record. Since October 1, 2025, he has recorded a point in 40 of 53 Minnesota regular-season wins, or 75.5%, compared with 49 of 88 appearances overall. His much stronger eleven-of-twelve record is specific to this season. The miss was a 3–1 win over Nashville in which he played 20:20 and took three shots.
Last season’s 5–1 win over Tampa Bay also left him without a point. So did his last three playoff appearances against Dallas, all Minnesota wins. Those games are a reason to treat the current run as a recent improvement, not an established promise whenever the Wild win.
If you’d rather focus on shots, two or more was −475. He took at least two in all twelve wins this season and seventeen of eighteen games overall. That’s much more expensive than his point prop at −150. The point option offers a larger payout, with the added need for a goal or assist instead of shots alone.
Anthony Cirelli under 0.5 assists (−310)
Cirelli lets you approach a Minnesota win from the other bench. He finished without an assist in all five Tampa Bay losses this season, compared with eleven of fifteen games overall. The larger Tampa Bay record in the table is more useful than leaning entirely on those five losses.
His point under was cheaper at −150, but it would also lose on a goal-only night. In the longer regular-season sample, the assist under covered 26 of 31 Lightning losses; the point under covered 24 of 31. Across all games in that same period, the records were 60 of 86 without an assist and 47 of 86 without a point. Goals in losses to Columbus and Seattle account for the difference. Paying −310 buys that room for Cirelli to finish a chance himself.
It doesn’t make his passing disappear. He assisted on a power-play goal in Tampa Bay’s latest win over Chicago, and had two assists in an 8–5 loss to Columbus last season. If your view of a Wild win still includes a productive Tampa Bay attack, that’s the weakness to weigh before taking an assist under.
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Choose the contribution that fits your Wild win
Kaprizov’s point gives you the stronger longer-term Minnesota-win record, at the heavier price. Eriksson Ek offers a more affordable way into the Wild offense if you’re comfortable leaning on this season’s improvement. They can also share the same scoring play, so taking both doesn’t give you two independent chances.
Cirelli’s assist under is a different choice if you want to limit one part of Tampa Bay’s attack without requiring him to go scoreless. Pick the route that fits your view of the game; the individual records don’t supply a combined parlay probability.
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