Michael Penix Jr. threw for 213 yards in Atlanta’s latest win. That’s enough for the 210-yard passing milestone, but not the next step at 220. For these Falcons parlay picks against Cincinnati, the difference matters if you’re backing Atlanta and want a passing target with a little room beneath that recent winning performance.
Side & Support Parlay Plays starts with that Atlanta-win view, then looks at Penix in Falcons wins and Joe Burrow and Chase Brown in Bengals losses. Comparing those records with each player’s full record over the same period gives you three different contributions to consider: passing yards, completions and a limit on carries.
Falcons parlay picks: three supporting options
The records below cover each player’s appearances with his current club across the 2025 and 2026 regular seasons through last weekend. Penix and Burrow’s rows cover games in which they threw a pass. Penix has only six Atlanta wins in that span, while Burrow has five Cincinnati losses; those small samples deserve particular care. These are individual DraftKings prices captured Saturday evening, November 7, and they can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | ATL wins / CIN losses | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr. 210+ passing yards |
−163 | 83.3% 5 of 6 ATL wins |
66.7% 10 of 15 ATL appearances |
| Joe Burrow 24+ completions |
−247 | 100.0% 5 of 5 CIN losses |
66.7% 10 of 15 CIN appearances |
| Chase Brown Under 13.5 rushing attempts |
−105 | 84.6% 11 of 13 CIN losses |
66.7% 16 of 24 CIN appearances |
Michael Penix Jr.: 210+ passing yards
Penix’s three Atlanta wins this season brought 256, 223 and 213 passing yards. The last two help explain the choice of line: you’re asking him to contribute through the air without needing the 256-yard game he produced against Green Bay.
DraftKings offered 200+ at −212 and 210+ at −163. Both covered the same five of six Atlanta wins and ten of fifteen appearances overall across the two seasons, so 210 asks for another 10 yards in exchange for a bigger payout. Moving to 220+ at −127 would have lost the recent San Francisco win and left four of six wins covered, compared with nine of fifteen appearances overall. This season, he reached 210 yards in all three wins and five of six appearances.
The roughest recent outing is also the most recent: eight completions for 125 yards in last Sunday’s shutout loss to Tampa Bay. And Atlanta did win with just 135 passing yards from Penix against Minnesota in 2025. Backing the Falcons doesn’t require a big passing day; this option suits a view that Penix rebounds enough to support the offense.
Joe Burrow: 24+ completions
A Bengals loss hasn’t meant a quiet day for Burrow. He completed 28 passes against Pittsburgh and 39 against Jacksonville in Cincinnati’s two losses this season. Asking for completions lets you back continued passing production even while taking Atlanta to win.
The 24+ price of −247 buys meaningful room compared with 26+ at −130. Two of the five Cincinnati losses in Burrow’s two-season sample ended with exactly 25 completions; the higher target covered just three of those five games. Across all fifteen appearances, 24 completions reached ten games and 26 reached four. That’s a useful distinction, although five losses is still a small foundation for the perfect record.
Burrow also completed 38 passes in last weekend’s overtime win over Tennessee. This isn’t an outcome that needs a Cincinnati defeat, and his full record includes plenty of games below 24. You’re paying for the lower completion target, rather than assuming Atlanta winning will automatically create enough throws.
Chase Brown: under 13.5 rushing attempts
Brown’s carry under offers a different way to read Cincinnati’s offense. He had 13 carries in the Pittsburgh loss and nine against Jacksonville this season. The Jacksonville game still included 11 catches for 71 yards, so this prop can work while Brown remains heavily involved as a receiver.
At −105, under 13.5 carries has the smallest price burden of these three options. It also has a larger result-based sample than either quarterback comparison. The two misses matter: Brown took 18 carries against Pittsburgh and 19 against New England in losses during the 2025 season. A Bengals defeat hasn’t always taken the running game away.
His last three games, all Cincinnati wins, also finished with 13, 11 and 12 carries. Overall this season, he stayed below fourteen carries in five of seven games. That makes a modest rushing workload a recent pattern across results, rather than a special consequence of losing. He’s still Cincinnati’s expected lead back, and the under only limits handoffs—not catches, total touches or yards.
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Choose the workload that fits your Atlanta view
Penix’s passing milestone is the direct Atlanta contribution to consider. Burrow’s completions and Brown’s carry under give you two ways to express a Cincinnati offense doing more of its work through the air. They draw on related workload assumptions, so taking both doesn’t give you two independent pieces of evidence or establish a combined chance of success. You can use the option that best matches your view without taking all three.
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