Lakers vs. Hawks preview: Who can get a good shot late?

The Lakers went up 26 in Detroit and still needed a big shot from Austin Reaves in the final minute. The Hawks went down 17 against Brooklyn and took their first lead with 1:26 left. Both kept their winning streaks going, and with a point and a half separating them on Monday’s betting line, it’s worth looking at how each team found points when the game tightened.

Reaves closed it out. Atlanta spread the work.

Reaves scored 43 in Sunday’s 121–116 win over Detroit, hitting a three with 46 seconds left and finishing the job at the foul line. Los Angeles had made 16 of 23 shots in the first quarter, but the Pistons got within one in the fourth. Luka Dončić missed that game with lower back tightness. His Monday availability is worth checking, especially for what it means for Reaves’ workload on the second night of a back-to-back.

Atlanta had several ways to get points in Saturday’s 124–121 win over Brooklyn. Jalen Johnson scored 30 in his return from an ankle sprain. Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Aaron Wiggins added 20 apiece, and Alexander-Walker put Atlanta ahead for the first time with two free throws. If the Lakers have to help on Johnson, Atlanta has other players who can make the next touch count.

How the streaks fit the spread

Los Angeles has five straight wins and five straight covers. Atlanta won four straight as a favorite but covered once. Its three misses came at lines of 6.5 points or more. DraftKings had Los Angeles favored by 1.5 on Monday morning, so the margins Atlanta needed in those games tell you little about what it needs as a short underdog here.

How high is 237.5?

Atlanta’s four wins produced combined scores of 245, 271, 225 and 212. The Lakers’ 237-point game in Detroit cleared that game’s total of 216.5 easily and still came in just below Monday’s number. Against Brooklyn, Atlanta’s 36-point fourth quarter helped push the score to 245, and the Nets chipped in 26 of their own in that quarter. That’s the kind of scoring from both teams that makes 237.5 easier to reach. If one offense goes quiet, watch how much the other has to make up.

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