NBA matchup

11/09/20267:00 PMState Farm ArenaAtlanta, GA

Lakers9 – 2vsHawks7 – 4

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendAtlanta Hawks games: +2.40 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Atlanta Hawks went 7–4 (63.6%) this season, for an estimated profit of 2.40 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendLos Angeles Lakers games: +0.47 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Los Angeles Lakers went 6–5 (54.5%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.47 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Los Angeles Lakers	B	C+	B
Atlanta Hawks	C	C	C

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More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of State Farm Arena in Atlanta.

Lakers vs. Hawks preview: Who can get a good shot late?Austin Reaves closed out Detroit, and Atlanta came back from 17 down against Brooklyn. Here’s what those finishes tell us about Monday’s tight spread and 237.5 total.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

LAL+101+1.5 (-108)

ATL-120-1.5 (-112)

Total 237.5Over -111Under -109

Recent form

Last 3 games

Los Angeles Lakers

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/8/26	@ DET	W 121–116	W +8.5	O 216.5
11/6/26	vs POR	W 124–118	W -3.5	O 231.5
11/4/26	@ SAC	W 116–103	W -12.5	U 233.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Atlanta Hawks

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/7/26	vs BKN	W 124–121	L -6.5	O 227.5
11/6/26	vs WSH	W 139–132	L -8.5	O 228.5
11/4/26	@ WSH	W 120–105	W -1.5	U 229.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Lakers and Hawks
	Statistic
44.0 (41.4)	Field Goals Made	42.2 (43.4)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Los Angeles Lakers

Expected Starters

PGLuka DoncicDay-To-Day
Doncic has been ruled out for Sunday's game at Detroit due to lower-back tightness, Trevor Lane of LakersNation.com reports.
Updated: Nov 9, 2026 at 10:22 AM EST
Player props1 of 9 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals4.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
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SGAustin Reaves
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-18164.4%Under+13642.4%
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SFZiaire Williams
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17563.6%
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PFMatisse Thybulle
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17263.2%
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CWalker Kessler
Player props1 of 10 markets
Total Assists1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16161.7%
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Relevant Bench

FJake LaRavia
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Points5.5Over-11052.4%Under-11653.7%
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CSandro Mamukelashvili
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+17436.5%Under-23370.0%
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Atlanta Hawks

Expected Starters

PGKingston Flemings
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists4.5Over+11646.3%Under-15360.5%
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SGNickeil Alexander-Walker
Player props1 of 9 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals3.5Over+11945.7%Under-15761.1%
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SFDyson Daniels
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total Assists5.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%
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PFJalen Johnson
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
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COnyeka Okongwu
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12054.5%
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Relevant Bench

FAaron Wiggins
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13342.9%Under-17663.8%
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GCJ McCollum
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
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FLuguentz Dort
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
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Player availability

Injury report

Los Angeles Lakers

GLuka DoncicBackDay-To-Day
Doncic has been ruled out for Sunday's game at Detroit due to lower-back tightness, Trevor Lane of LakersNation.com reports.
Updated: Nov 9, 2026 at 10:22 AM EST
GQuentin GrimesFingerDay-To-Day
Grimes (finger) did not return to Sunday's game against the Pistons.
Updated: Nov 8, 2026 at 9:01 PM EST

Atlanta Hawks

FAsa NewellToeOut
Newell (toe) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Lakers.
Updated: Nov 8, 2026 at 5:15 PM EST
CHenri VeesaarKneeOut
Veesaar was diagnosed with a torn right ACL and is expected to miss the 2026-27 season, the Hawks announced Monday.
Updated: Sep 21, 2026 at 3:50 PM EDT
CJock LandaleHipOut
Landale (hip) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Lakers.
Updated: Nov 8, 2026 at 5:11 PM EST