Cooper Flagg can fill up the box score, while P.J. Washington needs two threes. If you’re backing Dallas in Minnesota, compare how often they cleared those lines in Mavericks wins with how often they did it overall. For Ayo Dosunmu, look at how often he stayed under five assists in Timberwolves losses.
Against Indiana, Flagg put up 43 points, 10 rebounds and six assists, and Washington made two threes in the same Dallas win. Dosunmu’s assists line asks a different question about the rematch: who will set up Minnesota’s shots with Anthony Edwards out?
Player props to compare for a Mavericks win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg Over 36.5 points, rebounds and assists |
−123 | 85.7% 6 of 7 Dallas wins |
70.0% 7 of 10 appearances |
| P.J. Washington Over 1.5 made threes |
−151 | 85.7% 6 of 7 Dallas wins |
81.8% 9 of 11 appearances |
| Ayo Dosunmu Under 4.5 assists |
−129 | 83.3% 15 of 18 Minnesota losses |
73.3% 33 of 45 appearances |
Cooper Flagg: Over 36.5 points, rebounds and assists
Flagg’s 59 combined against Indiana was the high end. The 38 against Utah is a better example of how he can get there on a quieter scoring night: 21 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists. DraftKings also offered over 12.5 rebounds and assists at −113, which paid a little more than the three-stat over at −123.
Both offers hit in six of seven Dallas wins and seven of 10 appearances this season, but they didn’t always hit in the same games. Against San Antonio, Flagg had 15 rebounds and assists but only 34 combined after including his points. Against Houston in an earlier loss, his 32 points carried the three-stat over even though he had only seven rebounds and assists. Across last season and this one, the 36.5 over hit in 13 of 29 Dallas wins, so the case rests on his current production.
P.J. Washington: Over 1.5 made threes
Washington made exactly two threes in four of his seven Dallas wins this season. His six against Utah show the upside, but most of the wins that cleared the line were closer to the threshold. In a win over Houston, he played 34 minutes and made just one.
At −151, Washington’s over pays less than either Flagg line. Washington made at least two in only 12 of 23 Dallas wins across last season and this one. This option fits if you expect him to keep getting perimeter chances; the current win split by itself offers little separation from his all-game record.
Ayo Dosunmu: Under 4.5 assists
Dosunmu stayed under five in all three Minnesota losses he’s played in this season, and in 15 of 18 losses across last season and this one with the Timberwolves, including the playoffs. He had three assists in 38 minutes against San Antonio, a useful example of the under holding even when he plays a big share of the game.
His eight assists against Milwaukee and six against Houston show the risk at −129: he can clear the line when he takes on more of the passing. Minnesota is without Anthony Edwards, so look at who you expect to handle the ball. If you see Dosunmu getting more chances to create, the under may be a poor fit even if you like Dallas.
Sharpest Bets Premium
Get our Mavericks vs. Timberwolves picks.
Unlock our model's best bets for this matchup, plus projections, trends, and matchup analysis. Start with a free 7-day trial, then save 20% every month with code PARLAY20.
Which route fits a Dallas win?
Flagg gives you more ways to get over his line; Washington’s threes depend on a narrower role. Dosunmu’s under is the separate option if you see Minnesota’s assists coming from elsewhere. Each line has its own price, and the game records describe each prop separately.
See the live Mavericks–Timberwolves matchup for lineups and game odds, or browse more NBA articles.
More picks to build around
Unlock our Premium picks. Free.
Get our sharpest picks, team grades, and projected score in your inbox.