Colorado’s 7–3 win over Calgary earlier this month left Nathan MacKinnon with a goal and two assists, Morgan Frost with one shot on net, and Zayne Parekh without a point. If you’re backing the Avalanche again, those are three very different contributions to consider. The MacKinnon option below needs only one point, rather than another three-point night.
For a hypothetical Colorado win, these Avalanche parlay picks compare a goal or assist from MacKinnon, one shot from Frost and no points from Parekh. MacKinnon supplies the scoring route, Frost can get a shot away without the Flames winning, and Parekh’s point under asks Calgary to find its offense elsewhere. The broader records matter more than that one earlier meeting, and you can choose the option that fits your view of this game.
Avalanche parlay picks: three different demands
The records cover completed appearances with each player’s current club from October 1, 2025 through October 30, 2026, including the playoffs. Each all-game comparison uses the same club, dates and participation rules as its Colorado-win or Calgary-loss record.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon 1+ point |
−525 | 86.8% 59 of 68 Avalanche wins |
74.5% 79 of 106 appearances |
| Morgan Frost 1+ shot on goal |
−390 | 87.3% 48 of 55 Flames losses |
82.1% 78 of 95 appearances |
| Zayne Parekh Under 0.5 points |
−245 | 90.3% 28 of 31 Flames losses |
76.0% 38 of 50 appearances |
Individual DraftKings prices were captured on October 31 and can change. These records describe what happened in past games, rather than the chance of a future parlay succeeding.
Nathan MacKinnon — 1+ point (−525)
MacKinnon’s latest goal helped Colorado beat New Jersey 5–2. It was his only point in 19 minutes, so that win also shows the difference between asking for one point and two. Colorado won without needing a multi-point game from him.
The two-point offer is much lighter at −115, but it cleared 41 of the 68 Colorado wins in the longer record, compared with 59 for one. Across all his appearances, it’s 49 of 106 against 79 of 106. That eighteen-game gap in Avalanche wins is the room you’re paying for at −525; the smaller payout doesn’t make the lower target automatic.
He’s recorded a point in all seven Colorado wins this season and nine of thirteen appearances overall. A goal or an assist counts, which matters when his contribution shifts from the four points against Tampa Bay to the single assist in the loss at Nashville. The latter cleared one point without producing a Colorado win, just as a team win can arrive without his scoring.
April’s 4–2 playoff win over Los Angeles is the counterexample to keep in mind. MacKinnon had no points or shots in 19:30, including 3:06 on the power play. His average ice time this season has also dipped to about 20:45 from 22:07 last season. He’s expected between Artturi Lehkonen and Martin Necas, but the current role doesn’t erase those quieter winning nights.
The earlier Calgary meeting brought three points in 18:42, while an April win over the Flames brought exactly one goal. Both fit the one-point idea; only one fits two. Consider the lower target if that extra room matters more to you than the lighter price, without relying on another seven-goal Colorado performance.
Morgan Frost — 1+ shot on goal (−390)
Frost doesn’t need Calgary’s offense to have a good night for one shot to arrive. He recorded one in the 4–0 loss at Edmonton, playing 13:19. In the latest 6–2 win over Seattle, he had a goal and an assist but still finished with only one shot in 16:55. Very different results can leave this low shooting target in the same place.
Two shots is available at +105, compared with −390 for one. The lower target reached 48 of 55 Calgary losses in the longer record; two reached 28 of 55. The all-game comparison is 78 of 95 against 51 of 95. One shot kept twenty more losing appearances, a substantial difference if you want Flames involvement without asking for sustained pressure.
He’s reached one in all seven Calgary losses this season and twelve of thirteen appearances overall. The October loss to Colorado landed exactly on one, as did March’s 9–2 defeat to the Avalanche. Those games illustrate the appeal of leaving the target low, rather than predicting how much of the play Calgary will have tonight.
There are still shotless games. Frost picked up an assist without a shot in the recent win over Detroit, in 12:20. More directly relevant to this premise, he had no shots in April’s 4–1 loss to Seattle despite 17:41 on the ice, including 1:20 on the power play. Being involved in a game isn’t the same as putting a puck on net.
His average ice time is close to last season’s, at about 15:15 now versus 15:30 before. That makes the recent record useful without assuming a new role or a rise in minutes. The −390 offer is a choice to pay for a modest shooting demand, rather than a claim that Calgary’s losses make Frost certain to shoot.
Zayne Parekh — under 0.5 points (−245)
Parekh went without a point in Calgary’s earlier loss to Colorado, even while playing 21:17. His more recent game at Edmonton also ended without a point, as did the latest win over Seattle. This under can fit a Flames loss without needing him to spend the night on the bench.
The assist-only under is available at −360, but it adds relatively little room to the longer losing-game record: 29 of 31 Calgary losses without an assist, compared with 28 without a point. Across all appearances, the comparison is 42 of 50 against 38 of 50. The cheaper point under needs him to avoid both a goal and an assist; the heavier assist under still lets him score himself.
April’s Dallas loss shows exactly where that distinction can matter. Parekh scored a goal without an assist in 18:50, including 4:04 on the power play. The point under would have failed and the assist under would have cleared. Those aren’t interchangeable bets just because their Calgary-loss records are close.
His only point in a Calgary loss this season was an assist in the 4–1 defeat at Vancouver, in 17 minutes. That leaves six of seven losses without a point, alongside nine of thirteen appearances overall. The seven-game losing sample is still small, and his recent goal against Detroit and assist against Toronto—both wins—show that he hasn’t stopped contributing.
Parekh is averaging about 17:32 this season, close to last season’s 17:09. The case therefore rests on what he’s done in substantial minutes, rather than treating him as a low-usage extra. If you’re comfortable asking Calgary’s scoring to come through other players, −245 offers more payout than the assist-only choice while taking on the additional risk of a Parekh goal.
Choose the room you want to pay for
MacKinnon’s point and Frost’s shot are both lower targets than their lighter-priced alternatives, but they ask for different things: a place on the scoresheet from Colorado’s center or a single puck on net from a Calgary forward. The historical gaps help explain their costs; they don’t tell you that adding either is free of risk.
Parekh’s point under moves in the other direction, taking on a stricter requirement for a lighter price than his assist under. You can pick that route without taking both overs. If you combine selections from the same game, use the sportsbook’s actual quote instead of multiplying their separate odds or hit rates.
Follow the live Flames–Avalanche matchup or explore more NHL parlay ideas.
More picks to build around
Unlock our Premium picks. Free.
Get our sharpest picks, team grades, and projected score in your inbox.