Ja’Marr Chase scored in the first meeting with Pittsburgh, and Cincinnati still lost by three. The Bengals have won their last four games, and the rematch gives them a chance to take sole possession of first place in the AFC North.
If you see Cincinnati winning the rematch, consider who finishes its drives and where the short passes go. Chase’s touchdown and Chase Brown’s receiving yards tell different stories about the Bengals’ offense. Pat Freiermuth’s catches give you a way to look at Pittsburgh’s response.
Player props for a Bengals win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase Anytime touchdown scorer |
−115 | 83.3% 5 of 6 CIN wins |
75.0% 6 of 8 games |
| Chase Brown Under 23.5 receiving yards |
−110 | 83.3% 5 of 6 CIN wins |
75.0% 6 of 8 games |
| Pat Freiermuth Over 2.5 receptions |
−143 | 88.9% 8 of 9 PIT losses |
60.0% 15 of 25 games |
Ja’Marr Chase anytime touchdown
Chase can finish a drive before Cincinnati gets to the red zone. In Madrid, Joe Burrow found him for a 47-yard touchdown on third down on the Bengals’ opening drive. Chase also had a touchdown and 98 yards in the first Pittsburgh game. If the Steelers leave him room after the catch or let him get behind their coverage, he can make one target count.
He’s scored in all four wins on Cincinnati’s current streak, though Tampa Bay held him to two catches and no score in a Bengals win in Week 1. And Tee Higgins caught two of Burrow’s three touchdown passes in Madrid. The Bengals can move the ball and still finish drives elsewhere.
Chase Brown under 23.5 receiving yards
Brown ran for 61 yards in the first Pittsburgh meeting and caught two passes for eight. He also stayed under this line in Madrid despite an 11-yard gain on a screen. If Burrow can keep getting the ball to his wideouts, Brown can have a productive day on the ground while staying below 24 receiving yards.
The danger is a steady diet of short throws. Brown’s one miss in six Cincinnati wins came against Tennessee, when he caught eight balls for 46 yards in an overtime game. Opposing backs have caught about a quarter of all completions against Pittsburgh this season, so watch Brown’s early targets as closely as his carries.
Pat Freiermuth over 2.5 receptions
If Cincinnati gets ahead and keeps limiting gains outside the numbers, Aaron Rodgers can still find Freiermuth underneath. The tight end caught four in the loss at New England and three in the loss at Cleveland, Pittsburgh’s only two defeats this season. It took just 17 yards to reach the line in Cleveland.
Six of the eight overs in Pittsburgh losses since the start of 2025 came on exactly three catches. At −143, there’s little cushion if the targets go to Darnell Washington, who shares receiving and blocking work with Freiermuth. Freiermuth caught two in the first Cincinnati game and has finished on two in three straight games.
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Which throws fit your read of the rematch?
Chase’s touchdown fits if you expect Burrow to keep finding him downfield. Brown’s under depends on whether those drives can move without repeated throws to the back. If you see Pittsburgh playing from behind, look for whether Freiermuth is releasing into routes often enough to give Rodgers a short option.
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