Indianapolis beat Washington 30–13 with 143 passing yards from Daniel Jones, 19 completions and 95 rushing yards from Jonathan Taylor. That win is a useful reference for Colts parlay picks: the completion count and rushing output supported targets that a higher passing-yard requirement would have missed.
The Colts visit Jacksonville at EverBank Stadium on Sunday, November 1, at 1 p.m. EST. For readers building around a hypothetical Indianapolis win, three different requirements come into focus: 60 rushing yards for Taylor, 18 completions for Jones and a Bhayshul Tuten rushing under. The prices and past margins help distinguish the choices.
Colts supporting player props
DraftKings offered these individual prices Sunday morning. Taylor and Jones use August 1, 2025 through October 31, 2026 with Indianapolis, including playoff games where applicable. Tuten’s main comparison starts August 1, 2026 and uses his six Jacksonville rushing appearances this season, reflecting his current lead-back role; his older record is discussed separately. Taylor and Jones are measured in Colts wins, and Tuten in Jaguars losses. Each all-games baseline uses the same dates, club and participation rule as its result-specific sample. Passing requires an attempt and rushing requires a carry, so absent players are not credited with under hits. Individual hit rates do not establish a combined parlay probability.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor 60+ rushing yards Last season + this season |
+144 | 100.0% 10 of 10 IND wins |
79.2% 19 of 24 appearances |
| Daniel Jones 18+ completions Last season + this season |
−225 | 100.0% 10 of 10 IND wins |
85.0% 17 of 20 appearances |
| Bhayshul Tuten Under 66.5 rushing yards This season |
−112 | 100.0% 2 of 2 JAX losses |
50.0% 3 of 6 appearances |
Jonathan Taylor: 60+ rushing yards (+144)
Taylor reached 60 rushing yards in all 10 Indianapolis wins across the two seasons, compared with 19 of 24 rushing appearances overall. Both wins this season cleared it: 68 yards on 23 carries against Houston and 95 on 20 carries against Washington. He cleared in six of seven appearances this season.
The +144 quote still requires Taylor to reach 60 yards in this game; 10 previous wins cannot guarantee it. The narrowest winning totals in the sample were 66 yards against Las Vegas last season and those 68 against Houston this season.
Both examples matter when comparing 60+ with 70+ at +233. Moving to 70 reduced the longer winning count to eight of 10 and the overall count to 17 of 24. It also lost the Houston win, leaving one of two current wins covered. The larger price comes with a higher target that removes two demonstrated winning routes.
The main over 50.5 rushing yards at −111 covered the same 10 wins as 60+, but 20 appearances overall. It would retain Taylor’s 58 yards in last season’s 23–20 loss to Kansas City. Choosing 60 therefore adds nine required whole yards above that main line, in return for the plus price. Neither target was exclusive to wins: Taylor’s latest game produced 95 yards on 18 carries in the 16–10 loss to Minnesota. His 45 yards on 15 carries in the Pittsburgh loss show a recent miss too.
Taylor is the expected lead back, with Seth McGowan listed behind him. The case concerns his rushing yardage; receiving yards do not count toward this milestone.
Daniel Jones: 18+ completions (−225)
Jones completed at least 18 passes in all 10 Indianapolis wins in his two-season sample, compared with 17 of 20 passing appearances overall. This season, he cleared in both wins and six of seven appearances. The two wins produced 24 completions against Houston and 19 against Washington.
Those games show why completions are worth separating from passing yards. Jones threw for 235 yards on 36 attempts against Houston, then 143 yards on 34 attempts against Washington. The completion target cleared in both, even though the yardage totals differed substantially.
Dropping to 16+ completions at −479 covered exactly the same 10 wins and 17 appearances overall. That heavier price would buy a lower future requirement without adding a historical clear in this sample. Moving up to the main over 19.5 at −117 covered seven of 10 wins and 12 of 20 appearances. It would lose the 18-completion Tennessee win last season, the 19-completion Atlanta win and this season’s Washington win.
The latest outing supplies a clear warning about the floor: Jones completed 13 of 22 passes for 108 yards in the Minnesota loss. Other current losses, including Pittsburgh with 24 completions and Tennessee with 22, still cleared 18. The pattern is useful for comparing targets, but a Colts win is not a prerequisite for a clear.
Jones is expected to start. Alec Pierce remains on injured reserve with a heel injury, Anthony Gould is ruled out with a concussion and Drew Ogletree is questionable with a knee injury. Those availability details affect the receiving group without establishing how many passes Jones will complete.
Bhayshul Tuten: under 66.5 rushing yards (−112)
Tuten finished below 66.5 rushing yards in both Jacksonville losses this season, compared with three of six rushing appearances overall. He had 65 yards on 13 carries in the 20–13 loss to Denver, then 39 yards on 12 carries in Jacksonville’s latest game, the 34–31 loss to Houston on October 18.
The Denver margin was just 1.5 yards. Jacksonville also won with Tuten under this line: he finished with 66 yards on 15 carries against Cleveland. In the other three wins, he gained 73 yards against New England, 73 against Cincinnati and 72 against Philadelphia. This is a six-game view with only two losses, not an established rule about Jacksonville’s results.
The longer record covered all seven Jacksonville losses and 18 of 22 rushing appearances. It needs a role qualification: Tuten had between two and eight carries in each of the five older losing appearances, including the Buffalo playoff loss. His 12- and 13-carry losing games this season came with a larger workload. The main table keeps the current season separate so the older, smaller workloads do not stand in for today’s role.
DraftKings also offered under 15.5 carries at −135. That covered both current losses and four of six appearances, compared with three of six for the yardage under. The New England win explains the difference: 15 carries cleared the carry under, while 73 rushing yards missed this yardage under. The lower price at −112 comes with a different requirement on production per carry.
Tuten is listed as Jacksonville’s lead back, with Chris Rodriguez Jr. behind him. His latest game also included 48 receiving yards alongside 39 rushing yards; those catches did not count toward the rushing total. The separately offered over 66.5 at −112 covered neither current loss and three of six appearances overall.
Use the margins to choose the target
The Washington win supports looking beyond a passing-yard headline: Jones reached 19 completions and Taylor gained 95 rushing yards while Indianapolis won comfortably. Houston’s 68-yard Taylor result and Denver’s 65-yard Tuten result show where the room becomes much smaller. Weigh those margins against the individual prices and current team news. The two Indianapolis overs share offensive opportunities, and a Jacksonville rushing under depends on both workload and efficiency. If combining any options with the Colts to win, use the sportsbook’s actual same-game parlay quote; their separate prices and records do not establish the combined price or probability.
Follow the Colts–Jaguars event page for the matchup, and read more NFL analysis.
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