Dallas put up 27 points at Indianapolis even without George Pickens. With Pickens cleared to return, the Cowboys have another way to finish drives against a San Francisco secondary with several players listed as questionable.
If you see Dallas winning, start with how it gets there. Dak Prescott’s touchdown line fits a win through the air, Javonte Williams’ combined yards give you a way to follow the backfield, and Christian McCaffrey’s receiving line is worth comparing if you expect the 49ers to spend time chasing points.
Player props for a Cowboys win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott Over 1.5 passing touchdowns |
−197 | 90.9% 10 of 11 DAL wins |
53.8% 14 of 26 games |
| Javonte Williams Over 78.5 rushing + receiving yards |
−114 | 81.8% 9 of 11 DAL wins |
56.0% 14 of 25 games |
| Christian McCaffrey Over 32.5 receiving yards |
−109 | 100.0% 6 of 6 SF losses |
72.0% 18 of 25 games |
Dak Prescott over 1.5 passing touchdowns
Prescott threw two touchdowns against Indianapolis, and Pickens’ return gives him another target opposite CeeDee Lamb. That matters with three starting 49ers defensive backs listed as questionable. But at −197, it’s worth remembering how Dallas won in Houston. Prescott threw for 335 yards and finished with one touchdown pass while Williams ran for three scores. Prescott landed on exactly two in five of the ten Dallas wins that cleared this line.
Javonte Williams over 78.5 rushing + receiving yards
Williams showed what the catches can add when he ran for 62 yards in the win at Houston and got another 21 on five receptions. The 49ers have allowed 3.3 yards a carry, so a few throws underneath could matter again. Williams has cleared the line in three of four Dallas wins this season. The exception came against Washington, when he had 50 combined yards despite a comfortable Cowboys win.
Christian McCaffrey over 32.5 receiving yards
If Dallas makes San Francisco play from behind, McCaffrey gives Brock Purdy an outlet underneath. In San Francisco’s loss to Atlanta, he caught six passes for 61 yards. He had much less room to spare in another loss. In last season’s loss to Seattle, he finished with 34 on six catches. He has cleared 32.5 in only four of eight games this year, and last week against the Raiders he had two catches for 19 yards.
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Which prop fits your Dallas win?
Choose Prescott’s line if you expect Dallas to finish drives with touchdown passes. Williams’ combined yards fit a game where Dallas can lean on him for first downs. If you expect Dallas to build a lead and San Francisco to answer with short throws, McCaffrey’s receiving line is the one to look at.
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