Heat0 – 0vsThunder0 – 0

Sharp side

TBD

Model value

Sharp total

TBD

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.

Matchup intelligence

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Miami Heat	B+	C	B-
Oklahoma City Thunder	A-	A	A-

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

Draft Kings

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA+550+14.5 (-102)

OKC-800-14.5 (-118)

Total 234.5Over -108Under -112

Recent form

Overall5–5–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
1/10/26	@ IND	L 99–123	L -6.5	U 235.5
1/6/26	@ MIN	L 94–122	L +5.5	U 238.5
1/4/26	vs NO	W 125–106	W -7.5	U 247.5
1/3/26	vs MIN	L 115–125	L +2.5	O 235.5
1/1/26	@ DET	W 118–112	W +4.5	U 235.5
12/29/25	vs DEN	W 147–123	W +1.5	O 244.5
12/27/25	vs IND	W 142–116	W -6.5	O 233.5
12/26/25	@ ATL	W 126–111	W +2.5	U 250.5
12/23/25	vs TOR	L 91–112	L -5.5	U 227.5
12/21/25	@ NY	L 125–132	W +7.5	O 236.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall6–4–0W–L–TATS3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
1/9/26	@ MEM	W 117–116	L -5.5	O 229.5
1/7/26	vs UTAH	W 129–125	L -19.5	O 242.5
1/5/26	vs CHA	L 97–124	L -15.5	U 235.5
1/4/26	@ PHX	L 105–108	L -10.5	U 229.5
1/2/26	@ GS	W 131–94	W -13.5	U 226.5
12/31/25	vs POR	W 124–95	W -15.5	U 232.5
12/29/25	vs ATL	W 140–129	L -17.5	O 232.5
12/28/25	vs PHI	W 129–104	W -14.5	O 226.5
12/25/25	vs SA	L 102–117	L -10.5	U 234.5
12/23/25	@ SA	L 110–130	L -6.5	O 236.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

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