MLB matchup

09/11/20266:40 PMComerica ParkDetroit, MI74°F · Sunny

Rockies58 – 104vsTigers76 – 86

Sharp side

🏠 Tigers -186

Model value

Model trendColorado Rockies games: +6.54 units on model side bets rated 4 stars or better during the current streak

Model side bets rated 4 stars or better in games featuring Colorado Rockies are on a 7-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 6.54 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↑ Over 8

Model value

Model trendColorado Rockies games: +3.78 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Colorado Rockies went 17–12–1 (58.6%, excluding pushes) this season, with 1 push, for an estimated profit of 3.78 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Colorado Rockies	3.0	28.4%
Detroit Tigers	5.2	71.6%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Pitching	Overall
Colorado Rockies	F	D-	D-
Detroit Tigers	B-	B+	B

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Comerica Park in Detroit, with abstracted signage and anonymous figures.

Rockies vs. Tigers Preview: Is Detroit Worth -187?Detroit has the better lineup, stronger pitching and the better record. The catch: laying -187 against Colorado is not cheap.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun Line

COL+153+1.5 (-143)

DET-186-1.5 (+119)

Total 8.0Over -107Under -112

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun Line

COL+154+1.5 (-145)

DET-190-1.5 (+118)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun Line

COL+155+1.5 (-137)

DET-186-1.5 (+112)

Total 8.5Over +102Under -124

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun Line

COL+156+1.5 (-139)

DET-190-1.5 (+119)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun Line

COL+160+1.5 (-140)

DET-173-1.5 (+120)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun Line

COL+150+1.5 (-145)

DET-180-1.5 (+120)

Total 8.0Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun Line

COL+154+1.5 (-142)

DET-184-1.5 (+118)

Total 8.5Over +104Under -128

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

COL+155+1.5 (-140)

DET-190-1.5 (+115)

Total 8.5Over +105Under -125

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

COL+160+1.5 (-145)

DET-185-1.5 (+120)

Total 7.5Over -125Under +105

Recent form

Last 10 games

Colorado Rockies

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun Line6–4–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
9/10/26	@ NYY	L 3–10	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/9/26	@ NYY	L 1–6	L +1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	@ NYY	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/6/26	vs STL	L 8–10	L +1.5	O 11
9/5/26	vs STL	W 10–7	W +1.5	O 11
9/4/26	vs STL	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 11
9/2/26	vs BAL	W 6–5	W +1.5	U 11.5
9/1/26	vs BAL	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 11
8/31/26	vs BAL	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 11
8/30/26	@ ATL	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Detroit Tigers

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun Line6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
9/9/26	vs MIN	W 7–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	vs MIN	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/7/26	vs MIN	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 8
9/6/26	@ CLE	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 7
9/5/26	@ CLE	W 6–0	W +1.5	U 7
9/4/26	@ CLE	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/4/26	@ CLE	L 6–7	W +1.5	O 8
9/2/26	@ MIN	W 11–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/1/26	@ MIN	L 2–15	L -1.5	O 8.5
8/31/26	@ MIN	L 1–11	L +1.5	O 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rockies and Tigers
	Statistic
7.2 (8.4)	Hits	8.8 (7.9)
1.4 (1.7)	Doubles	1.7 (1.5)
0.8 (1.1)	Home Runs	1.4 (1.1)
11.3 (13.9)	Total Bases	15.0 (13.0)
2.7 (3.0)	Walks	3.7 (3.5)
9.3 (8.9)	Strikeouts	8.9 (9.0)
0.6 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	0.4 (0.3)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RockiesMason AdamsConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-14258.7%Under+11247.2%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%

TigersFramber ValdezConfirmed

Player props4 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12344.8%Under-16362.0%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-12655.8%Under-10150.2%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%

Starting lineups

Colorado RockiesConfirmed

1Jake McCarthyLF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14441.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45018.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22869.5%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+27426.7%Under-40280.1%
2Connor Norby1B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46617.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29225.5%Under-43381.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
3Cole CarriggCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44518.3%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26027.8%Under-38079.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22869.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13657.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+55015.4%Under-91090.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27326.8%Under-40180.0%
4Hunter GoodmanC
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37521.1%Under-57585.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-20667.3%Under+15439.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35578.0%
5Kyle Karros3B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41819.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12344.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40880.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
6Adael Amador2B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46417.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27226.9%Under-39980.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26972.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29725.2%Under-44081.5%
7Troy JohnstonDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59414.4%Under-99090.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31224.3%Under-46682.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14759.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34222.6%Under-51783.8%
8Jordan BeckRF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56914.9%Under-94090.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31724.0%Under-47382.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20767.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+79011.2%Under-142093.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31124.3%Under-46382.2%
9Ezequiel TovarSS
Player props6 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57214.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33822.8%Under-50983.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34577.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%

Detroit TigersConfirmed

1Kevin McGonigle3B
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31524.1%Under-47082.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-26572.6%Under+19533.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11252.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+76011.6%Under-136093.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
2Gleyber TorresDH
Player props7 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18164.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40619.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-25872.1%Under+19034.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11147.4%
3Colt Keith1B
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35222.1%Under-53484.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-21067.7%Under+15639.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13657.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9609.4%Under-184094.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21631.6%Under-30975.6%
4Riley GreeneLF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36821.4%Under-56284.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21368.1%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19365.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
5Dillon DinglerC
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18464.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42619.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16138.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12755.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
6Max ClarkCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38820.5%Under-59885.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-18765.2%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32376.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+79011.2%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
7John PeckSS
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+52815.9%Under-86089.6%
8Zach McKinstryRF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44518.3%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36678.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+78011.4%Under-140093.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22231.1%Under-31976.1%
9Javier Baez2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47117.5%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38679.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14659.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9709.3%Under-188094.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32023.8%Under-47982.7%

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