MLB matchup
09/20/20261:40 PMTropicana FieldSt. Petersburg, FL

Red Sox84 – 71vsRays94 – 60

Sharp side
Model value
Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Boston Red SoxB-B+B
Tampa Bay RaysBBB
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineRun line
BOS+124+1.5 (-172)
TB-150-1.5 (+142)
Total 8.5Over -101Under -119
Recent form

Last 3 games

Boston Red Sox

Overall2–1–0W–L–TRun line2–1–0W–L–PO/U0–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/19/26@ TBL 1–2W +1.5U 7.5
9/18/26@ TBW 4–2W +1.5U 7
9/17/26@ TEXW 4–3L -1.5U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall2–1–0W–L–TRun line1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/19/26vs BOSW 2–1L -1.5U 7.5
9/18/26vs BOSL 2–4L -1.5U 7
9/17/26vs ATHW 10–1W -1.5O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Red Sox and Rays
Statistic
7.6 (8.3)Hits7.9 (8.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

Red SoxPatrick SandovalProbable
Player props1 of 2 markets
Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%
RaysGriffin JaxProbable
Player props1 of 2 markets
Total Outs Recorded13.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%

Player availability

Injury report

Boston Red Sox
  • 2BAnthony SeiglerWrist10-Day-IL
    The Red Sox placed Seigler on the 10-day injured list Sunday due to right wrist inflammation.
    Updated: Sep 13, 2026 at 1:41 PM EDT
  • CFCeddanne RafaelaQuadriceps10-Day-IL
    Rafaela (quadriceps) is with Triple-A Worcester on Thursday and will do some hitting off their Trajekt machine, Tommy Cassell of the Worcester Telegram & Gazette reports.
    Updated: Sep 17, 2026 at 1:38 PM EDT
  • 3BCurtis MeadWrist10-Day-IL
    Mead (wrist) will begin hitting off a tee Wednesday, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 15, 2026 at 6:44 PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
  • 2BBen WilliamsonHamstring10-Day-IL
    Williamson (hamstring) reported to Triple-A Durham on Tuesday to begin a rehab assignment, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
    Updated: Sep 15, 2026 at 2:31 PM EDT
  • RPEdwin UcetaShoulder60-Day-IL
    Uceta (shoulder) is playing catch from 75 feet, per MLB.com.
    Updated: Aug 14, 2026 at 10:52 PM EDT
  • RPGarrett CleavingerForearm15-Day-IL
    Cleavinger (forearm) is expected to resume mound work Saturday, MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 18, 2026 at 10:48 PM EDT

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