MLB matchup
09/20/20264:10 PMPetco ParkSan Diego, CA76°F · Hazy sunshine

Marlins76 – 79vsPadres86 – 69

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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Miami MarlinsCC+C
San Diego PadresBC+B
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineRun line
MIA+114+1.5 (-193)
SD-138-1.5 (+158)
Total 8.0Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 3 games

Miami Marlins

Overall1–2–0W–L–TRun line2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/19/26@ SDL 6–7W +1.5O 7.5
9/18/26@ SDL 2–8L +1.5O 7.5
9/16/26@ ARIW 4–3W +1.5U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

San Diego Padres

Overall3–0–0W–L–TRun line2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–0–1O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/19/26vs MIAW 7–6L -1.5O 7.5
9/18/26vs MIAW 8–2W -1.5O 7.5
9/17/26@ COLW 9–2W -1.5P 11

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Marlins and Padres
Statistic
7.8 (8.3)Hits8.0 (8.1)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

MarlinsSandy AlcantaraProbable
Player props1 of 5 markets
Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+11047.6%Under-14759.5%
PadresWalker BuehlerProbable
Player props1 of 5 markets
Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%

Expected Starters

Miami MarlinsProjected
  1. 1Otto LopezSS
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18264.5%
  2. 2Heriberto HernandezLF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44418.4%Under-70087.5%
  3. 3Kyle Stowers1B
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
  4. 4Javier Sanoja3B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
  5. 5Griffin ConineRF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57814.7%Under-96090.6%
  6. 6Jakob MarseeCF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49216.9%Under-79088.8%
  7. 7Agustin RamirezDH
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48417.1%Under-78088.6%
  8. 8Joe MackC
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
  9. 9Graham Pauley3B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57114.9%Under-95090.5%
San Diego PadresProjected
  1. 1Fernando Tatis Jr.2B
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
  2. 2Dustin HarrisRF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
  3. 3Manny Machado3B
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
  4. 4Ty France1B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
  5. 5Jackson MerrillCF
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18164.4%
  6. 6Luis CampusanoDH
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51616.2%Under-84089.4%
  7. 7Xander BogaertsSS
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48417.1%Under-78088.6%
  8. 8Jake CronenworthSS
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58614.6%Under-98090.7%
  9. 9Samad TaylorLF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+66013.2%Under-114091.9%

Player availability

Injury report

Miami Marlins
  • SPAdam MazurElbow60-Day-IL
    Mazur (elbow) is expected to begin a throwing program sometime in September, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Aug 7, 2026 at 5:16 PM EDT
  • RPAndrew NardiElbow60-Day-IL
    Nardi (elbow) is slated to undergo season-ending surgery Friday, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Aug 24, 2026 at 4:46 PM EDT
  • RPAnthony BenderLower Leg15-Day-IL
    Bender will undergo surgery to address the stress reaction in his right shin, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 18, 2026 at 9:13 PM EDT
San Diego Padres
  • RPBryan HoeingElbow60-Day-IL
    The Padres transferred Hoeing (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.
    Updated: May 8, 2026 at 7:02 AM EDT
  • 1BGavin SheetsFoot10-Day-IL
    If Sheets (foot) is able to return this season, he may be limited to working as a designated hitter and/or pinch hitter, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 12, 2026 at 4:13 PM EDT
  • RPJason AdamShoulder60-Day-IL
    Adam (shoulder) could soon begin a minor-league rehab stint with Triple-A El Paso, MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 12, 2026 at 3:39 PM EDT

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