MLB matchup
09/29/20268:00 PMYankee StadiumBronx, NY67°F · Partly cloudy

Red Sox87 – 75vsYankees93 – 68

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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupPitchingOverall
Boston Red SoxB-AB+
New York YankeesBA+A-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineRun Line
BOS+118+1.5 (-198)
NYY-142-1.5 (+163)
Total 6.5Over -103Under -117
Recent form

Last 3 games

Boston Red Sox

Overall2–1–0W–L–TRun Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun LineTotal
9/27/26vs CHCL 2–6L +1.5O 7.5
9/25/26vs CHCW 2–0W +1.5U 6.5
9/25/26vs CHCW 4–3W +1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New York Yankees

Overall2–1–0W–L–TRun Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun LineTotal
9/25/26vs BALW 6–3W +1.5O 6.5
9/25/26vs BALL 2–10L +1.5O 7
9/24/26vs TBW 6–4W -1.5O 6

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Red Sox and Yankees
Statistic
6.8 (8.2)Hits6.5 (7.8)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

Red SoxPayton TolleProbable
Player props1 of 5 markets
Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
YankeesCam SchlittlerProbable
Player props1 of 5 markets
Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%

Expected Starters

Boston Red SoxProjected
  1. 1Roman AnthonyLF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47717.3%Under-76088.4%
  2. 2Adley RutschmanC
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47517.4%Under-76088.4%
  3. 3Willson ContrerasDH
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49316.9%Under-79088.8%
  4. 4Wilyer AbreuRF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51616.2%Under-84089.4%
  5. 5Ceddanne RafaelaCF
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48617.1%Under-78088.6%
  6. 6Nick Sogard2B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55715.2%Under-92090.2%
  7. 7Caleb Durbin3B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49016.9%Under-79088.8%
  8. 8Jarren DuranCF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54315.6%Under-89089.9%
  9. 9Trevor StorySS
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54515.5%Under-90090.0%
New York YankeesProjected
  1. 1Ben RiceDH
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52016.1%Under-85089.5%
  2. 2Paul Goldschmidt1B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44718.3%Under-71087.7%
  3. 3Cody BellingerLF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42219.2%Under-66086.8%
  4. 4Heliot RamosRF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48417.1%Under-78088.6%
  5. 5Aaron JudgeRF10-Day-IL
    Judge (calf) said Monday that he's been "feeling great" while running on an anti-gravity treadmill but has yet to try running the bases, Jorge Castillo of ESPN.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 28, 2026 at 3:58 PM EDT
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47017.5%Under-75088.2%
  6. 6Amed RosarioRF
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48917.0%Under-79088.8%
  7. 7George Lombard Jr.SS
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52616.0%Under-86089.6%
  8. 8Anthony VolpeSS
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
  9. 9Austin WellsC
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+73012.0%Under-130092.9%

Player availability

Injury report

Boston Red Sox
  • 2BAnthony SeiglerWrist10-Day-IL
    The Red Sox placed Seigler on the 10-day injured list Sunday due to right wrist inflammation.
    Updated: Sep 13, 2026 at 1:41 PM EDT
  • 3BCurtis MeadWrist10-Day-IL
    Red Sox manager Chad Tracy indicated Tuesday that Mead (wrist) is a long shot to be available for the postseason, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 23, 2026 at 9:20 AM EDT
  • SPEduardo RiveraBack60-Day-IL
    The Red Sox recalled Rivera from Triple-A Worcester and placed him on the 60-day injured list Tuesday due to a lumbar strain.
    Updated: Sep 1, 2026 at 11:59 AM EDT
New York Yankees
  • RFAaron JudgeCalf10-Day-IL
    Judge (calf) said Monday that he's been "feeling great" while running on an anti-gravity treadmill but has yet to try running the bases, Jorge Castillo of ESPN.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 28, 2026 at 3:58 PM EDT
  • SPClarke SchmidtBiceps15-Day-IL
    Schmidt could be shut down for the season if he's unable to pitch Thursday, MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 24, 2026 at 3:38 PM EDT
  • RPFernando CruzElbow60-Day-IL
    The Yankees transferred Cruz (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Friday.
    Updated: Sep 25, 2026 at 7:17 PM EDT

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