Patriots1 – 1vsBills2 – 0

Sharp side

Model value

Sharp total

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
New England Patriots	B+	A-	A-
Buffalo Bills	A+	B+	A

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

NE+136+3.0 (-110)

BUF-162-3.0 (-110)

Total 49.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–1–1W–L–PO/U0–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
9/20/26	vs PIT	W 20–3	W -4.5	U 41.5
9/9/26	@ SEA	L 10–13	P +3	U 44.5
2/8/26	vs SEA	L 13–29	L +4.5	U 45.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
9/17/26	vs DET	W 41–31	W -5.5	O 54.5
9/13/26	@ HOU	W 36–31	W -1.5	O 44.5
1/17/26	@ DEN	L 30–33	L +1.5	O 45.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Patriots and Bills
	Statistic
336.3 (359.1)	Total Yards	369.2 (376.7)

Current depth chart

New England Patriots

Buffalo Bills

QBJosh Allen
RBJames Cook III
RBRay Davis
WRDJ MooreQuestionable
The Bills are treating Moore as day-to-day after he was diagnosed with an AC joint sprain in his shoulder after exiting Thursday's 41-31 win over the Lions, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
Updated: Sep 20, 2026 at 10:08 AM EDT
WRKhalil Shakir
WRKeon Coleman
TEDalton Kincaid

Player availability

New England Patriots

CBCarlton Davis IIINeckOut
OTDametrious CrownoverKneeOut
GMike OnwenuAnkleOut
Initial X-rays revealed that Onwenu fractured his right ankle during Sunday's 20-3 win over the Steelers, Mike Reiss of ESPN.com reports.
Updated: Sep 20, 2026 at 6:43 PM EDT

Buffalo Bills

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