MLB matchup
10/05/20265:00 PMProgressive FieldCleveland, OH61°F · Mostly sunny

White Sox84 – 78vsGuardians85 – 77

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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupPitchingOverall
Chicago White SoxCCC
Cleveland GuardiansD+A-B-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineRun Line
CHW+130+1.5 (-176)
CLE-157-1.5 (+145)
Total 6.5Over -122Under +101
Recent form

Last 3 games

Chicago White Sox

Overall3–0–0W–L–TRun Line3–0–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun LineTotal
10/3/26@ CLEW 3–0W +1.5U 6.5
9/30/26@ HOUW 7–3W +1.5O 7.5
9/29/26@ HOUW 6–3W +1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cleveland Guardians

Overall1–2–0W–L–TRun Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun LineTotal
10/3/26vs CHWL 0–3L -1.5U 6.5
9/27/26@ KCL 2–3L -1.5U 8
9/26/26@ KCW 11–5W -1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for White Sox and Guardians
Statistic
6.4 (7.9)Hits7.7 (7.9)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

White SoxAnthony KayProbable
GuardiansGavin WilliamsProbable
Player props1 of 5 markets
Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%

Expected Starters

Chicago White SoxProjected
  1. 1Chase Meidroth2B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50316.6%Under-81089.0%
  2. 2Sam AntonacciLF
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45618.0%Under-72087.8%
  3. 3Miguel Vargas3B
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40219.9%Under-63086.3%
  4. 4Munetaka Murakami1B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54315.6%Under-89089.9%
  5. 5Andrew BenintendiDH
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+67013.0%Under-116092.1%
  6. 6Tristan PetersCF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47717.3%Under-76088.4%
  7. 7Kyle TeelC
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53715.7%Under-88089.8%
  8. 8Braden MontgomeryRF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55415.3%Under-91090.1%
  9. 9Colson MontgomerySS
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Cleveland GuardiansProjected
  1. 1Steven KwanCF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
  2. 2Jose Ramirez3B
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
  3. 3Chase DeLauterRF
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+15439.4%Under-20767.4%
  4. 4Jo AdellDH
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
  5. 5Nathaniel Lowe1B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49316.9%Under-79088.8%
  6. 6Angel MartinezLF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39020.4%Under-60085.7%
  7. 7Travis Bazzana2B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51416.3%Under-84089.4%
  8. 8Patrick BaileyC
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+61014.1%Under-104091.2%
  9. 9Brayan RocchioSS
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48617.1%Under-78088.6%

Player availability

Injury report

Chicago White Sox
  • LFBrooks BaldwinElbow60-Day-IL
    The White Sox transferred Baldwin (elbow) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.
    Updated: May 8, 2026 at 7:02 AM EDT
  • CJoey BartHand10-Day-IL
    White Sox general manager Chris Getz said Friday that Bart is expected to be sidelined for "over a month" due to a left hand fracture, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.
    Updated: Aug 7, 2026 at 5:58 PM EDT
  • RPJordan LeasureForearm60-Day-IL
    Leasure underwent surgery to repair a torn UCL in August, James Fegan of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
    Updated: Aug 31, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT
Cleveland Guardians
  • RPAndrew WaltersElbowOut
    Walters underwent a right elbow UCL repair with an internal brace Wednesday, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 10, 2026 at 1:03 PM EDT
  • RPColin HoldermanWrist15-Day-IL
    Holderman will undergo season-ending surgery on his right wrist, Zack Meisel of The Athletic reports.
    Updated: Oct 1, 2026 at 12:36 PM EDT
  • 1BRhys HoskinsBack10-Day-IL
    Guardians manager Stephen Vogt said Friday that Hoskins (back) has begun a swing progression program, MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 12, 2026 at 8:07 AM EDT

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