MLB matchup

10/07/20264:00 PMRate FieldChicago, IL79°F · Mostly sunny

Guardians85 – 77vsWhite Sox84 – 78

Sharp side

✈️ Guardians +105

Model value

Team trendCleveland Guardians: +3.11 units outright in past month

The Cleveland Guardians have won outright in 13 of their 20 games (65.0%) in the past month, returning a profit of 3.11 units when betting one unit per game.

Sharp total

↓ Under 8

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Cleveland Guardians	3.8	57.1%
Chicago White Sox	3.1	42.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Pitching	Overall
Cleveland Guardians	D+	A-	B-
Chicago White Sox	C+	C+	C+

Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Guardians vs. White Sox Game 3: Can Cleveland’s bats keep the series alive?Chicago is one win from the ALCS, but Cleveland's pitching remains a meaningful counterweight. Game 3 turns on whether the Guardians can sustain more offense.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE+105+1.5 (-199)

CHW-127-1.5 (+163)

Total 8.0Over -106Under -114

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE+110+1.5 (-200)

CHW-130-1.5 (+165)

Total 8.0Over -102Under -118

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE+105+1.5 (-200)

CHW-125-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -117

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE+110+1.5 (-200)

CHW-130-1.5 (+168)

Total 8.0Over +102Under -120

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE+115+1.5 (-190)

CHW-125-1.5 (+165)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -115

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE+105+1.5 (-200)

CHW-125-1.5 (+160)

Total 8.0Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE+112+1.5 (-205)

CHW-128-1.5 (+168)

Total 7.5Over -124Under +102

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE+105+1.5 (-200)

CHW-125-1.5 (+170)

Total 7.5Over -125Under +105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE+112+1.5 (-215)

CHW-121-1.5 (+170)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

Cleveland Guardians

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun Line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
10/5/26	vs CHW	L 3–4	L -1.5	O 6.5
10/3/26	vs CHW	L 0–3	L -1.5	U 6.5
9/27/26	@ KC	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8
9/26/26	@ KC	W 11–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/25/26	@ KC	W 12–9	W -1.5	O 7
9/24/26	@ BOS	W 1–0	W +1.5	U 6.5
9/23/26	@ BOS	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 6.5
9/22/26	@ BOS	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 6
9/20/26	vs ATH	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 7
9/19/26	vs ATH	W 12–6	W -1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Chicago White Sox

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun Line8–2–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
10/5/26	@ CLE	W 4–3	W +1.5	O 6.5
10/3/26	@ CLE	W 3–0	W +1.5	U 6.5
9/30/26	@ HOU	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/29/26	@ HOU	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/27/26	vs COL	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/26/26	vs COL	L 6–9	L -1.5	O 8
9/25/26	vs COL	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 8
9/24/26	@ KC	W 9–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/23/26	@ KC	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/22/26	@ KC	W 14–11	W -1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Guardians and White Sox
	Statistic
7.6 (7.9)	Hits	6.6 (7.9)
1.5 (1.5)	Doubles	1.3 (1.5)
0.9 (1.0)	Home Runs	0.9 (1.3)
12.0 (12.6)	Total Bases	10.9 (13.5)
3.5 (3.5)	Walks	3.2 (3.6)
7.9 (7.9)	Strikeouts	9.4 (9.3)
0.9 (0.9)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

GuardiansDaniel EspinoConfirmed

White SoxSean NewcombConfirmed

Starting lineups

Cleveland GuardiansConfirmed

1Steven KwanCF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37421.1%Under-57385.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-26172.3%Under+19234.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28026.3%Under-41380.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-130092.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
2Jose Ramirez3B
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35721.9%Under-54284.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-24771.2%Under+18235.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10851.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+35821.8%Under-54584.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
3Chase DeLauterRF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14441.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37121.2%Under-56785.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-23470.1%Under+17336.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13357.1%Under-10350.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
4Jo AdellDH
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18865.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35122.2%Under-53284.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-19666.2%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10208.9%Under-200095.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
5Nathaniel Lowe1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38620.6%Under-59585.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32276.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16338.0%Under-23069.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
6Angel MartinezLF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35122.2%Under-53284.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14258.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39479.8%
7Travis Bazzana2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47717.3%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25628.1%Under-37378.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15460.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59614.4%Under-100090.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
8Patrick BaileyC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44218.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13342.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38479.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26072.2%
9Brayan RocchioSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42918.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37979.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+89010.1%Under-166094.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34777.6%

Chicago White SoxConfirmed

1Sam AntonacciDH
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19165.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36721.4%Under-56184.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21668.4%Under+16038.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27326.8%Under-40180.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23770.3%
2Miguel Vargas3B
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37221.2%Under-57085.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-22369.0%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+51116.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
3Munetaka Murakami1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50016.7%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21868.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
4Kyle TeelC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42019.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
5Chase Meidroth2B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53015.9%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13342.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38779.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
6Tristan PetersCF
7Braden MontgomeryRF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43618.7%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36878.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+81011.0%Under-148093.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
8Randal GrichukLF
9Colson MontgomerySS
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51416.3%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25428.2%Under-37178.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25171.5%

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