NHL matchup
10/08/20267:00 PMKeyBank CenterBuffalo, NY

Stars2 – 2 – 0vsSabres2 – 2 – 0

Sharp side
✈️ Stars -122
Model value
Team trendDallas Stars: +0.31 units outright in past week

Outright bets on the Dallas Stars have won in 2 of 3 games (66.7%) in the past week, returning a profit of 0.31 units when betting one unit per game.

Sharp total
↓ Under 6.5
Model value
Team trendDallas Stars games: +3.48 units on Under this season

4 of 4 games (100.0%) featuring the Dallas Stars have gone Under this season, returning a profit of 3.48 units when betting one unit per game.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Dallas Stars3.257.6%
Buffalo Sabres2.742.4%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Dallas StarsBA-B+
Buffalo SabresBC+B-
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Illustrated interior of KeyBank Center in Buffalo during a professional ice hockey gameStars vs. Sabres preview: Can Dallas build on its shutout?Dallas heads to Buffalo after its first win, but the Sabres bring consecutive comeback victories and a projected edge in shots. Oettinger's workload could be the difference.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
DAL-122-1.5 (+210)
BUF+102+1.5 (-258)
Total 6.5Over +110Under -130
BetMGM
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
DAL-125-1.5 (+185)
BUF+105+1.5 (-225)
Total 6.0Over -115Under -105
BetRivers
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
DAL-124-1.5 (+205)
BUF+105+1.5 (-265)
Total 6.5Over +110Under -137
Caesars
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
DAL-117—
BUF-102—
Total —Over —Under —
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
DAL-117-1.5 (+205)
BUF+105+1.5 (-240)
Total 6.0Over -115Under -105
FanDuel
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
DAL-125-1.5 (+198)
BUF+104+1.5 (-250)
Total 6.0Over -115Under -105
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
DAL-120-1.5 (+180)
BUF+100+1.5 (-250)
Total 6.5Over +115Under -145
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
DAL-125-1.5 (+190)
BUF+105+1.5 (-235)
Total 6.5Over +120Under -145
Recent form

Last 10 games

Dallas Stars

Overall4–6–0W–L–TPuck Line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/5/26vs SJW 5–0W -1.5U 6.5
10/3/26@ NSHL 1–2L -1.5U 6.5
10/2/26vs STLL 0–4L -1.5U 5.5
4/30/26@ MINL 2–5L +1.5O 5.5
4/28/26vs MINL 2–4L -1.5O 5.5
4/25/26@ MINL 2–3W +1.5U 5.5
4/22/26@ MINW 4–3W +1.5O 5.5
4/20/26vs MINW 4–2W -1.5O 5.5
4/18/26vs MINL 1–6L -1.5O 5.5
4/15/26@ BUFW 4–3L -1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Buffalo Sabres

Overall5–5–0W–L–TPuck Line4–6–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/6/26vs MINW 3–2W +1.5U 6.5
10/3/26vs CHIW 4–3L -1.5O 5.5
10/1/26@ CBJL 3–6L -1.5O 6.5
5/18/26vs MTLL 2–3L -1.5U 5.5
5/16/26@ MTLW 8–3W +1.5O 6.5
5/14/26vs MTLL 3–6L -1.5O 5.5
5/12/26@ MTLW 3–2W +1.5U 6.5
5/10/26@ MTLL 2–6L +1.5O 5.5
5/8/26vs MTLL 1–5L -1.5O 5.5
5/6/26vs MTLW 4–2W -1.5O 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Stars and Sabres
Statistic
25.7 (25.7)Shots28.4 (28.4)
19.7 (19.7)Hits20.9 (20.5)
15.0 (15.0)Blocked Shots14.1 (14.2)
27.7 (27.7)Faceoffs Won26.6 (26.4)
3.1 (3.1)Power Play Opportunities3.0 (3.1)
4.5 (4.5)Takeaways4.7 (4.8)
14.4 (14.4)Giveaways15.6 (15.5)
3.8 (3.8)Penalties4.2 (4.1)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

StarsJake OettingerConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves22.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
SabresUkko-Pekka LuukkonenConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves21.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Lineup context

Projected lines

Dallas Stars
First line
  • CRoope Hintz
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
    Total Points0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11047.6%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-19566.1%Under+14041.7%
  • LWJason Robertson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
    Total Points0.5Over-21067.7%Under+15539.2%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-17063.0%Under+12544.4%
  • RWJamie Benn
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+24529.0%Under-34077.3%
    Total Points0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19065.5%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
  • DEsa Lindell
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+27526.7%Under-39079.6%
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10050.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+21531.7%Under-29574.7%
  • DMiro Heiskanen
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
    Total Points0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10050.0%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Second line
  • CWyatt Johnston
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
    Total Points0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12544.4%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
  • LWSam Steel
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+31024.4%Under-45081.8%
    Total Points0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25071.4%
  • RWMikko Rantanen
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
    Total Points0.5Over-21067.7%Under+15539.2%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+12544.4%Under-17563.6%
  • DThomas Harley
    Player props4 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+22031.3%Under-30075.0%
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
    Total Points0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21067.7%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
  • DNils Lundkvist
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+55015.4%Under-90090.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+42519.0%Under-65086.7%
Buffalo Sabres
First line
  • CJiri Kulich
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+33023.3%Under-47582.6%
    Total Points0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26572.6%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
  • LWPeyton Krebs
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+29525.3%Under-42581.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+19533.9%Under-26572.6%
  • RWTage Thompson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
    Total Points0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13542.6%
    Total Shots on Goal3.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
  • DMattias Samuelsson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+30025.0%Under-42581.0%
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-12555.6%Under-11553.5%
    Total Points0.5Over+20532.8%Under-28073.7%
  • DRasmus Dahlin
    Player props4 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over+12045.5%Under-17063.0%
    Total Points0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12045.5%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Second line
  • CNoah Ostlund
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+20033.3%Under-27573.3%
    Total Points0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
  • LWZach Benson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+21531.7%Under-29574.7%
    Total Points0.5Over+11047.6%Under-14559.2%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
  • RWJack Quinn
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+20532.8%Under-28073.7%
    Total Points0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
  • DOlen Zellweger
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+39020.4%Under-57585.2%
    Total Points0.5Over+27027.0%Under-38079.2%
  • DOwen Power
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+21531.7%Under-29574.7%
    Total Points0.5Over+16537.7%Under-22068.8%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%


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