CFB matchup
10/09/20267:00 PML&N Federal Credit Union StadiumLouisville, KY

Florida State3 – 2vsLouisville2 – 3

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Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Florida State SeminolesB+B+B+
Louisville CardinalsA-B+B+
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Oil painting of L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium during a packed Louisville football gameFlorida State vs. Louisville: Can FSU slow the Cardinals’ ground game?Florida State’s 10-sack breakout meets a productive Louisville rushing attack. Here’s how that test shapes the 3.5-point spread and 59.5-point total.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
FSU+150+3.5 (-108)
LOU-180-3.5 (-112)
Total 59.5Over -112Under -108
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Last 3 games

Florida State Seminoles

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/3/26vs UVAW 38–7W +1.5U 51.5
9/26/26vs CARKW 34–7L -45.5U 62.5
9/19/26@ ALAL 36–50W +18.5O 50.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Louisville Cardinals

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/3/26@ NCSUL 28–31L -5.5O 56.5
9/26/26vs WAKEL 27–30L -11.5U 57.5
9/19/26vs SMUW 41–31W -3O 57.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Florida State and Louisville
Statistic
405.9 (413.0)Total Yards408.3 (416.1)



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