CFB matchup
10/10/202610:30 PMBulldog StadiumFresno, CA

Boise State4 – 1vsFresno State4 – 1

Sharp side
Model value
Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Boise State BroncosBBB
Fresno State BulldogsC-B-C
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Editorial oil painting of Fresno State’s football stadium during a night game in Fresno, California.Boise State vs. Fresno State: Can the Bulldogs slow the Broncos?Both teams arrive at 4-1 with four straight wins. Boise State's efficient passing meets Fresno State's strong recent defense, with relatively close yardage projections adding intrigue to the spread.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
BOIS-250-6.5 (-118)
FRES+205+6.5 (-102)
Total 48.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 3 games

Boise State Broncos

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/3/26vs USUW 37–18L -19.5O 50.5
9/26/26@ WMUW 32–7W -8.5U 50.5
9/19/26vs SDAKW 38–24L -28.5O 61.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/3/26@ WSUW 26–6W +2.5U 44.5
9/26/26vs RICEW 38–24W -12.5O 43.5
9/19/26@ SJSUW 26–10W -4U 47.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Boise State and Fresno State
Statistic
374.9 (409.4)Total Yards350.0 (352.9)



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