Colts2 – 2vsSteelers2 – 2

Sharp side

Model value

Sharp total

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Indianapolis Colts	B+	C	B-
Pittsburgh Steelers	B	B	B

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

IND+114+2.5 (-110)

PIT-135-2.5 (-110)

Total 44.5Over -108Under -112

Recent form

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/4/26	vs WSH	W 30–13	W -4.5	U 46.5
9/27/26	vs HOU	W 19–17	W +1.5	U 42.5
9/20/26	@ KC	L 30–33	W +6	O 46.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/1/26	@ CLE	L 24–27	L -2.5	O 38.5
9/27/26	vs CIN	W 30–27	W +3.5	O 42.5
9/20/26	@ NE	L 3–20	L +4.5	U 41.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Colts and Steelers
	Statistic
292.0 (319.3)	Total Yards	327.1 (310.4)

Current depth chart

Indianapolis Colts

Pittsburgh Steelers

QBAaron Rodgers
RBJaylen Warren
RBRico DowdleOut
Head coach Mike McCarthy said that Dowdle (toe) had a positive workout Friday and is "making progress" in his recovery, but the Steelers aren't yet certain if he'll be available to play Week 5 versus the Colts, Nick Farabaugh of PennLive.com reports.
Updated: Oct 5, 2026 at 4:38 PM EDT
WRDK Metcalf
WRMichael Pittman Jr.
WRRoman Wilson
TEDarnell Washington

Player availability

Indianapolis Colts

WRKeenan AllenGroinOut
WRAlec PierceHeelInjured Reserve
Colts head coach Shane Steichen reiterated Monday that Pierce didn't undergo surgery on his left heel and is continuing to rehab the injury, James Boyd of The Athletic reports.
Updated: Sep 28, 2026 at 2:38 PM EDT
DEMicheal ClemonsToeInjured Reserve
Clemons (toe) was placed on injured reserve by the Colts on Tuesday.
Updated: Sep 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM EDT

Pittsburgh Steelers

RBRico DowdleToeOut
Head coach Mike McCarthy said that Dowdle (toe) had a positive workout Friday and is "making progress" in his recovery, but the Steelers aren't yet certain if he'll be available to play Week 5 versus the Colts, Nick Farabaugh of PennLive.com reports.
Updated: Oct 5, 2026 at 4:38 PM EDT
CBJamel DeanAnkleDoubtful
The Steelers could be without Dean for "a couple of weeks" after he exited Thursday's 27-24 loss to the Browns due to an ankle injury, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
Updated: Oct 4, 2026 at 9:10 AM EDT
DTDerrick HarmonFootInjured Reserve
The Steelers placed Harmon (foot) on injured reserve Monday, Teresa Varley of the team's official site reports.
Updated: Oct 5, 2026 at 5:23 PM EDT