NFL matchup
10/12/20268:15 PMSoFi StadiumInglewood, CA

Bills3 – 1vsRams2 – 2

Sharp side
Model value
Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Buffalo BillsA+A-A
Los Angeles RamsAAA
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Editorial oil painting of SoFi Stadium in Inglewood with a royal-blue-and-gold game-day atmosphere beneath the translucent canopy.Bills vs. Rams preview: Turnovers complicate a high-scoring matchupBuffalo and Los Angeles bring strong offenses into Monday night, but recent turnovers, DJ Moore’s shoulder injury and a 54.5-point total complicate the scoring outlook.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
BUF+150+3.5 (-115)
LAR-180-3.5 (-105)
Total 54.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 3 games

Buffalo Bills

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/4/26vs NEL 26–29L -7O 49.5
9/27/26vs LACW 24–16W -7U 50.5
9/17/26vs DETW 41–31W -5.5O 54.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Los Angeles Rams

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/4/26@ PHIW 24–20L -4.5O 42.5
9/27/26@ DENL 26–30L +1.5O 44.5
9/21/26vs NYGW 28–6W -7U 47.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Bills and Rams
Statistic
358.8 (375.1)Total Yards378.8 (399.9)

Projected depth chart

Expected offensive personnel

Buffalo Bills
  • QBJosh Allen
    Player props1 of 10 markets
    1st Half Total Passing Yards113.5
  • RBJames Cook III
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards1.5
  • RBTy Johnson
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards12.5
  • WRDJ MooreQuestionable
    Moore (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Rams, Katherine Fitzgerald of The Buffalo News reports.
    Updated: Oct 10, 2026 at 2:05 PM EDT
  • WRKhalil Shakir
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards19.5
  • WRKeon Coleman
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards15.5
  • TEDalton Kincaid
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards22.5
Los Angeles Rams
  • QBMatthew Stafford
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    1st Quarter Total Passing Yards59.5
  • RBKyren Williams
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards9.5
  • RBBlake Corum
    Player props1 market
    Total Rushing Yards32.5
  • WRPuka Nacua
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    1st Quarter Total Receiving Yards16.5
  • WRDavante Adams
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards28.5
  • WRJordan Whittington
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards5.5
  • TEColby Parkinson
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards6.5

Player availability

Injury report

Buffalo Bills
  • DTEd OliverKneeOut
    Oliver (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Monday's game against the Rams, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
    Updated: Oct 10, 2026 at 2:55 PM EDT
  • WRJoshua PalmerShoulderOut
    Palmer (shoulder) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Rams, Katherine Fitzgerald of The Buffalo News reports.
    Updated: Oct 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT
  • CBDee AlfordAnkleQuestionable
    Alford (ankle) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Rams, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
    Updated: Oct 10, 2026 at 3:14 PM EDT
Los Angeles Rams
  • SQuentin LakeHipQuestionable
    Lake (hip) did not participate at practice Thursday, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports.
    Updated: Oct 8, 2026 at 8:29 PM EDT
  • DEMyles GarrettKneeInjured Reserve
    Garrett (knee), per head coach Sean McVay, is "on track" in his recovery but is not expected to return to practice next week, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports.
    Updated: Oct 10, 2026 at 4:19 PM EDT
  • TETerrance FergusonAnkleInjured Reserve
    Ferguson (ankle) is expected to be ready to return after his four-game stint on injured reserve, Cameron DaSilva of USA Today reports.
    Updated: Oct 7, 2026 at 1:52 PM EDT

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