Model forecast
Projected outcome
Matchup intelligence
Team grades
| Team | Offense | Defense | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | B | B+ | B |
| SMU Mustangs | A- | B | B+ |
Featured analysis
Matchup preview
Virginia vs. SMU Preview: Can the Mustangs Turn Their Passing Edge Into Separation?SMU has the stronger passing outlook, but its recent wins haven't always translated into covers. Virginia's comeback against Syracuse adds another wrinkle to an 8.5-point spread.Read analysis Sportsbook context
Game lines
— No usable price supplied by that book.
DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
UVA+270+9.5 (-110)
SMU-340-9.5 (-110)
Total 51.5Over -115Under -105
Recent form
Last 3 games
Virginia Cavaliers
Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/26 | vs SYR | W 28–25 | L -14 | O 49.5 |
| 10/3/26 | @ FSU | L 7–38 | L -1.5 | U 51.5 |
| 9/26/26 | vs DEL | W 42–3 | W -19.5 | U 52.5 |
W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.
SMU Mustangs
Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS0–3–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/3/26 | vs BC | W 25–16 | L -21.5 | U 55.5 |
| 9/26/26 | vs MOST | W 34–24 | L -30.5 | U 60.5 |
| 9/19/26 | @ LOU | L 31–41 | L +3 | O 57.5 |
W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.
Team comparison
Projected team stats
Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.
| Statistic | ||
|---|---|---|
| 350.0 (371.2) | Total Yards | 434.3 (451.0) |
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