NHL matchup
10/17/20267:00 PMBell CentreMontreal, QC

Sabres4 – 3 – 2vsCanadiens4 – 3 – 1

Sharp side
✈️ Sabres +120
Model value
Team trendBuffalo Sabres: +14.27 units outright in past year

Outright bets on the Buffalo Sabres have won in 59 of 99 games (59.6%) in the past year, returning a profit of 14.27 units when betting one unit per game.

Sharp total
↑ Over 6.5
Model value
Team trendMontreal Canadiens games: +6.34 units on Over in past year

57 of 103 games (55.3%) featuring the Montreal Canadiens have gone Over in the past year, returning a profit of 6.34 units when betting one unit per game.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Buffalo Sabres3.244.8%
Montreal Canadiens3.555.2%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Buffalo SabresBC+B-
Montreal CanadiensBC+B
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Editorial oil painting of Bell Centre in Montreal, with abstracted figures and unlettered surfaces.Sabres vs. Canadiens Preview: Montreal’s Price Meets a Goaltending TestMontreal is a modest home favorite, but Buffalo’s projected shot advantage and both expected goalies’ recent struggles make this rematch worth a closer look.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
BUF+120+1.5 (-205)
MTL-142-1.5 (+170)
Total 6.5Over -110Under -110
BetMGM
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
BUF+118+1.5 (-200)
MTL-145-1.5 (+165)
Total 6.5Over -110Under -110
BetRivers
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
BUF+125+1.5 (-215)
MTL-150-1.5 (+170)
Total 6.5Over -110Under -112
Caesars
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
BUF+121—
MTL-148—
Total —Over —Under —
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
BUF+123+1.5 (-200)
MTL-137-1.5 (+175)
Total 6.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
BUF+122+1.5 (-192)
MTL-146-1.5 (+158)
Total 6.5Over -110Under -112
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
BUF+120+1.5 (-210)
MTL-140-1.5 (+160)
Total 6.5Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
BUF+120+1.5 (-200)
MTL-140-1.5 (+165)
Total 6.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Buffalo Sabres

Overall5–5–0W–L–TPuck Line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/15/26@ TORW 5–4W +1.5O 6.5
10/13/26@ MTLL 3–4W +1.5O 6.5
10/12/26vs FLAW 5–3W -1.5O 5.5
10/10/26vs UTAHL 1–4L +1.5U 6.5
10/8/26vs DALL 0–4L +1.5U 6.5
10/6/26vs MINW 3–2W +1.5U 6.5
10/3/26vs CHIW 4–3L -1.5O 5.5
10/1/26@ CBJL 3–6L -1.5O 6.5
5/18/26vs MTLL 2–3L -1.5U 5.5
5/16/26@ MTLW 8–3W +1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Montreal Canadiens

Overall3–7–0W–L–TPuck Line3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/14/26@ WSHL 4–5W +1.5O 6.5
10/13/26vs BUFW 4–3L -1.5O 6.5
10/10/26vs DETW 1–0L -1.5U 6.5
10/8/26vs NSHL 2–5L -1.5O 6.5
10/6/26vs CARL 4–6L +1.5O 6.5
10/3/26@ PITL 5–6L -1.5O 6.5
9/29/26@ TORW 3–2W +1.5U 6.5
5/29/26@ CARL 1–6L +1.5O 5.5
5/27/26vs CARL 0–4L +1.5U 5.5
5/25/26vs CARL 2–3W +1.5U 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Sabres and Canadiens
Statistic
28.3 (28.3)Shots26.1 (25.9)
20.5 (20.4)Hits23.4 (23.7)
13.7 (14.0)Blocked Shots16.3 (16.3)
26.9 (26.6)Faceoffs Won28.7 (28.7)
3.1 (3.1)Power Play Opportunities3.0 (3.0)
4.7 (4.8)Takeaways4.5 (4.5)
15.7 (15.4)Giveaways13.9 (13.9)
4.2 (4.1)Penalties4.7 (4.7)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

SabresUkko-Pekka LuukkonenConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves25.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
CanadiensJacob FowlerConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves23.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Lineup context

Projected lines

Buffalo Sabres
First line
  • CTage Thompson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
    Total Points0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14540.8%
    Total Shots on Goal3.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
  • LWRyan McLeod
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+23030.3%Under-32076.2%
    Total Points0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19065.5%
  • RWJosh Doan
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+23529.9%Under-33076.7%
    Total Points0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-14559.2%Under+11047.6%
  • DOlen Zellweger
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+19533.9%Under-26572.6%
    Total Points0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-18564.9%Under+13542.6%
  • DMattias Samuelsson
Second line
  • CNoah Ostlund
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23069.7%
    Total Points0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
  • LWZach Benson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26072.2%
    Total Points0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-15060.0%Under+11047.6%
  • RWJack Quinn
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23570.1%
    Total Points0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
  • DOwen Power
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
    Total Points0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
  • DZach Metsa
Montreal Canadiens
First line
  • CNick Suzuki
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11047.6%
    Total Points1.5Over+15539.2%Under-21067.7%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
  • LWCole Caufield
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
    Total Points0.5Over-23570.1%Under+17037.0%
    Total Shots on Goal3.5Over+10050.0%Under-14058.3%
  • RWJuraj Slafkovsky
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
    Total Points0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13542.6%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
  • DLane Hutson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-16061.5%Under+11546.5%
    Total Points0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14540.8%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
  • DNoah Dobson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27073.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19065.5%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
Second line
  • CAlex Newhook
  • LWChris Kreider
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27073.0%
    Total Points0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%
  • RWJosh Anderson
  • DKaiden Guhle
  • DAlexandre Carrier


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