NHL matchup
10/19/20267:30 PMScotiabank ArenaToronto, ON

Sharks4 – 4 – 1vsMaple Leafs4 – 4 – 2

Sharp side
🏠 Maple Leafs -135
Model value
Team trendSan Jose Sharks opponents: +1.19 units outright in past week

Outright bets against the San Jose Sharks have won in 3 of 4 games (75.0%) in the past week, returning a profit of 1.19 units when betting one unit per game.

Sharp total
↑ Over 6.5
Model value
Team trendToronto Maple Leafs games: +4.51 units on Over in past year

48 of 86 games (55.8%) featuring the Toronto Maple Leafs have gone Over in the past year, returning a profit of 4.51 units when betting one unit per game.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
San Jose Sharks2.933.1%
Toronto Maple Leafs4.066.9%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
San Jose SharksCDD+
Toronto Maple LeafsB-B-B-
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Editorial oil painting of Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, with anonymous painterly figures and unlettered surfaces.Sharks vs. Maple Leafs preview: Can Toronto justify favorite status?Toronto has stronger grades, but recent losses and shaky goaltending complicate its case against San Jose. We examine the moneyline price and 6.5-goal total.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
SJ+114+1.5 (-218)
TOR-135-1.5 (+180)
Total 6.5Over -148Under +124
BetMGM
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
SJ+115+1.5 (-210)
TOR-135-1.5 (+170)
Total 7.0Over +105Under -130
BetRivers
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
SJ+114+1.5 (-230)
TOR-136-1.5 (+180)
Total 6.5Over -132Under +107
Caesars
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
SJ+119+1.5 (-209)
TOR-141-1.5 (+175)
Total 7.0Over -102Under -121
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
SJ+130+1.5 (-192)
TOR-145-1.5 (+167)
Total 6.5Over -143Under +123
FanDuel
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
SJ+116+1.5 (-205)
TOR-140-1.5 (+164)
Total 7.0Over +116Under +116
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
SJ+115+1.5 (-210)
TOR-135-1.5 (+160)
Total 6.5Over -145Under +115
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
SJ+125+1.5 (-210)
TOR-145-1.5 (+170)
Total 6.5Over -145Under +120
Recent form

Last 10 games

San Jose Sharks

Overall5–5–0W–L–TPuck Line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/17/26@ DETL 3–4W +1.5O 6.5
10/15/26@ NSHW 3–2W +1.5U 6.5
10/13/26vs BOSL 3–6L +1.5O 6.5
10/10/26vs EDML 1–3L +1.5U 6.5
10/8/26@ STLW 3–2W +1.5U 5.5
10/5/26@ DALL 0–5L +1.5U 6.5
10/3/26vs LAW 5–4L -1.5O 6.5
10/1/26vs FLAW 4–3W +1.5O 6.5
4/16/26@ WPGW 6–1W +1.5O 6.5
4/15/26@ CHIL 2–5L -1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Overall3–7–0W–L–TPuck Line3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/17/26vs NYIL 1–4L -1.5U 6.5
10/15/26vs BUFL 4–5L -1.5O 6.5
10/13/26@ UTAHL 4–5W +1.5O 6.5
10/10/26@ COLW 6–3W +1.5O 6.5
10/8/26@ VGKL 3–4W +1.5O 6.5
10/6/26vs NSHW 5–4L -1.5O 5.5
10/3/26vs OTTL 2–3L -1.5U 6.5
9/30/26vs NYIW 2–1L -1.5U 5.5
9/29/26vs MTLL 2–3L -1.5U 6.5
4/15/26@ OTTL 1–3L +1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Sharks and Maple Leafs
Statistic
25.9 (26.1)Shots26.8 (26.3)
22.4 (22.2)Hits22.2 (22.3)
14.3 (14.7)Blocked Shots15.6 (15.1)
27.0 (27.0)Faceoffs Won30.7 (30.3)
3.1 (3.1)Power Play Opportunities2.5 (2.5)
4.6 (4.6)Takeaways4.8 (4.7)
16.6 (16.4)Giveaways15.9 (16.2)
3.7 (3.7)Penalties3.8 (3.7)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

SharksYaroslav AskarovConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves25.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
Maple LeafsSergei BobrovskyConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves24.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Lineup context

Projected lines

San Jose Sharks
First line
  • CMacklin Celebrini
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
    Total Shots on Goal3.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
  • LWIgor Chernyshov
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+21032.3%Under-29074.4%
    Total Points0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
  • DDarnell Nurse
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+25028.6%Under-35077.8%
    Total Points0.5Over+18535.1%Under-25571.8%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-16562.3%Under+12045.5%
  • DMichael Kesselring
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+50016.7%Under-80088.9%
    Total Points0.5Over+39020.4%Under-57585.2%
Second line
  • CAlexander Wennberg
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18564.9%
    Total Points0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
  • LWMason Marchment
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+17536.4%Under-23570.1%
    Total Points0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
  • RWTyler Toffoli
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+25528.2%Under-36078.3%
    Total Points0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-15560.8%Under+11546.5%
  • DSam Dickinson
  • DJacob Trouba
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+29525.3%Under-42581.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+21032.3%Under-29074.4%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Toronto Maple Leafs
First line
  • CAuston Matthews
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
    Total Points1.5Over+14540.8%Under-20066.7%
    Total Shots on Goal3.5Over+10050.0%Under-13056.5%
  • LWEaston Cowan
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27073.0%
    Total Points0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
  • RWJack Roslovic
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21067.7%
    Total Points0.5Over-14559.2%Under+11047.6%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
  • DJake McCabe
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31075.6%
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-19065.5%Under+13542.6%
    Total Points0.5Over+18535.1%Under-25571.8%
  • DDarren Raddysh
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+11047.6%Under-14559.2%
    Total Points0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
Second line
  • CNick Paul
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+22530.8%Under-31075.6%
    Total Points0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
  • LWKirill Marchenko
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16562.3%
    Total Points0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14540.8%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
  • RWWilliam Nylander
  • DMorgan Rielly
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+16537.7%Under-22569.2%
    Total Points0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
  • DTroy Stecher


Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial


Up next

More NHL matchups

Welcome back