NBA matchup
10/21/20267:30 PMKaseya CenterMiami, FL

Timberwolves0 – 0vsHeat0 – 0

Sharp side
Model value
Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Minnesota TimberwolvesBB-B
Miami HeatB+C-B-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
MIN-105+1.5 (-115)
MIA-115-1.5 (-105)
Total 243.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 3 games

Minnesota Timberwolves

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
5/15/26vs SAL 109–139L +5.5O 219.5
5/12/26@ SAL 97–126L +10.5O 218.5
5/10/26vs SAW 114–109W +5.5O 218.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Miami Heat

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
4/14/26@ CHAL 126–127W +5.5O 228.5
4/12/26vs ATLW 143–117W -10.5O 239.5
4/10/26@ WSHW 140–117W -15.5O 243.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Timberwolves and Heat
Statistic
42.8 (42.3)Field Goals Made43.4 (43.7)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves
Expected Starters
  • PGLaMelo Ball
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals3.5Over-11252.8%Under-11753.9%
  • SGAnthony Edwards
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals3.5Over+11446.7%Under-15060.0%
  • SFJonathan Kuminga
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-23770.3%Under+17736.1%
  • PFJaden McDaniels
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+15139.8%Under-20166.8%
  • CRudy Gobert
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Points9.5Over-12255.0%Under-10451.0%
Relevant Bench
  • GAyo Dosunmu
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%
  • CJoan Beringer
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Points7.5Over+10050.0%Under-12755.9%
Miami Heat
Expected Starters
  • PGDavion Mitchell
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+17636.2%Under-23670.2%
  • SGKlay Thompson
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
  • SFAndrew Wiggins
    Player props1 of 5 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-18164.4%Under+13642.4%
  • PFGiannis Antetokounmpo
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Assists6.5Over-13457.3%Under+10249.5%
  • CBam AdebayoDay-To-Day
    Adebayo (groin) participated in Monday's practice, Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald reports.
    Updated: Oct 19, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10249.5%
Relevant Bench
  • FBobby Portis
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%
  • FPelle LarssonDay-To-Day
    Larsson (illness) participated in Monday's practice, Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald reports.
    Updated: Oct 19, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13542.6%
  • FTim Hardaway Jr.
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17363.4%Under+13143.3%

Player availability

Injury report

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • GDonte DiVincenzoAchillesOut
    DiVincenzo (Achilles) remains confident that he'll return during the 2026-27 season, Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic reports.
    Updated: Oct 5, 2026 at 4:53 PM EDT
  • CRocco ZikarskyUndisclosedDay-To-Day
    Zikarsky (undisclosed) is out for Friday's preseason finale in Chicago.
    Updated: Oct 16, 2026 at 7:54 PM EDT
Miami Heat
  • CBam AdebayoGroinDay-To-Day
    Adebayo (groin) participated in Monday's practice, Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald reports.
    Updated: Oct 19, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT
  • GDru SmithCalfDay-To-Day
    Smith (calf) participated in practice Monday, Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald reports.
    Updated: Oct 19, 2026 at 7:17 PM EDT
  • GPelle LarssonIllnessDay-To-Day
    Larsson (illness) participated in Monday's practice, Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald reports.
    Updated: Oct 19, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT

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