Mavericks0 – 0vsRockets0 – 0

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Model value

Sharp total

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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Dallas Mavericks	C+	D+	C
Houston Rockets	C-	A-	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

DAL+295+8.5 (-105)

HOU-375-8.5 (-115)

Total 229.5Over -115Under -105

Recent form

Last 3 games

Dallas Mavericks

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
4/12/26	vs CHI	W 149–128	W -5.5	O 249.5
4/10/26	@ SA	L 120–139	L +18.5	O 236.5
4/8/26	@ PHX	L 107–112	W +12.5	U 234.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Houston Rockets

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
5/1/26	vs LAL	L 78–98	L -5.5	U 203.5
4/29/26	@ LAL	W 99–93	W +3.5	U 209.5
4/26/26	vs LAL	W 115–96	W -3.5	O 206.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Mavericks and Rockets
	Statistic
39.1 (41.9)	Field Goals Made	44.4 (42.4)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Dallas Mavericks

Expected Starters

PGKyrie Irving
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+11047.6%Under-14459.0%
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SGZaccharie Risacher
SFCooper Flagg
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+15339.5%Under-20367.0%
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PFP.J. Washington
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
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CDereck Lively IIDay-To-Day
Lively (foot) has been ruled out for Friday's exhibition against the Hawks.
Updated: Oct 16, 2026 at 6:21 PM EDT

Relevant Bench

CDaniel Gafford
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Points9.5Over-13357.1%Under+10449.0%
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GMax Christie
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17463.5%Under+13243.1%
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Houston Rockets

Expected Starters

PGFred VanVleet
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+11147.4%Under-14659.3%
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SGAmen Thompson
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists4.5Over-11753.9%Under-11252.8%
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SFKevin Durant
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13442.7%Under-17763.9%
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PFJabari Smith Jr.
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-18965.4%Under+14341.2%
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CAlperen Sengun
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists4.5Over-15761.1%Under+11945.7%
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Relevant Bench

GReed Sheppard
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17263.2%Under+13043.5%
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FTari Eason
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+15339.5%Under-20367.0%
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Player availability

Injury report

Dallas Mavericks

CDereck Lively IIFootDay-To-Day
Lively (foot) has been ruled out for Friday's exhibition against the Hawks.
Updated: Oct 16, 2026 at 6:21 PM EDT
GJett HowardIllnessDay-To-Day
Howard (illness) won't play in Friday's preseason game against the Hawks.
Updated: Oct 16, 2026 at 6:25 PM EDT
FSanti AldamaKneeDay-To-Day
Aldama (knee) remains without a timetable to return, and head coach Dusty May said he "doesn't know yet" if the forward will play in Wednesday's regular-season opener against Houston, Mike Curtis of The Dallas Morning News reports.
Updated: Oct 18, 2026 at 3:19 PM EDT