NHL matchup
10/24/20267:00 PMRogers PlaceEdmonton, AB

Maple Leafs7 – 6 – 2vsOilers9 – 2 – 2

Sharp side
🏠 Oilers -155
Model value
Sharp total
↑ Over 6.5
Model value
Model trendEdmonton Oilers games: +3.94 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Edmonton Oilers went 9–4 (69.2%) this season, for an estimated profit of 3.94 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Toronto Maple Leafs3.033.7%
Edmonton Oilers4.166.3%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Toronto Maple LeafsC+C-C
Edmonton OilersA-B-B
More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Rogers Place in EdmontonMaple Leafs vs. Oilers: Can Toronto keep pace with Edmonton’s attack?Both teams have won three straight, but Edmonton brings the stronger attack. Toronto’s recent scoring and mixed goaltending results complicate the moneyline and 6.5 total.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+130+1.5 (-180)
EDM-155-1.5 (+150)
Total 6.5Over -162Under +136
BetMGM
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+125+1.5 (-185)
EDM-150-1.5 (+150)
Total 7.0Over -102Under -118
BetRivers
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+130+1.5 (-186)
EDM-157-1.5 (+148)
Total 6.5Over -159Under +128
Caesars
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+127+1.5 (-182)
EDM-150-1.5 (+153)
Total 7.0Over -105Under -118
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+132+1.5 (-180)
EDM-147-1.5 (+155)
Total 7.0Over +100Under -120
FanDuel
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+122+1.5 (-188)
EDM-146-1.5 (+148)
Total 7.0Over -102Under -120
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+125+1.5 (-185)
EDM-145-1.5 (+140)
Total 7.5Over +130Under -165
Kalshi
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+133—
EDM-144—
Total —Over —Under —
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+125+1.5 (-190)
EDM-145-1.5 (+160)
Total 6.5Over -175Under +135
Recent form

Last 10 games

Toronto Maple Leafs

Overall5–5–0W–L–TPuck Line6–4–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/22/26vs NYRW 5–4W +1.5O 6.5
10/20/26@ CBJW 6–2W +1.5O 6.5
10/19/26vs SJW 3–1W -1.5U 6.5
10/17/26vs NYIL 1–4L -1.5U 6.5
10/15/26vs BUFL 4–5L -1.5O 6.5
10/13/26@ UTAHL 4–5W +1.5O 6.5
10/10/26@ COLW 6–3W +1.5O 6.5
10/8/26@ VGKL 3–4W +1.5O 6.5
10/6/26vs NSHW 5–4L -1.5O 5.5
10/3/26vs OTTL 2–3L -1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Edmonton Oilers

Overall8–2–0W–L–TPuck Line7–3–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/22/26vs CARW 6–5W +1.5O 6.5
10/20/26vs MINW 4–3L -1.5O 6.5
10/17/26@ UTAHW 6–2W +1.5O 6.5
10/15/26vs UTAHL 2–4L +1.5U 6.5
10/13/26@ LAW 4–1W -1.5U 6.5
10/10/26@ SJW 3–1W -1.5U 6.5
10/7/26@ ANAW 5–2W -1.5O 6.5
10/3/26vs SEAW 3–1W -1.5U 6.5
10/1/26@ VANW 9–7W -1.5O 6.5
9/29/26vs VANL 5–6L -1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Maple Leafs and Oilers
Statistic
26.4 (26.5)Shots29.4 (29.2)
22.1 (22.1)Hits20.6 (20.8)
14.8 (15.1)Blocked Shots14.5 (14.3)
30.1 (30.4)Faceoffs Won28.4 (28.5)
2.6 (2.6)Power Play Opportunities2.8 (2.7)
4.6 (4.6)Takeaways4.2 (4.2)
16.3 (16.2)Giveaways15.6 (15.6)
3.7 (3.7)Penalties3.5 (3.5)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

Maple LeafsAnthony StolarzConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves27.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
OilersTristan JarryConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves24.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
Lineup context

Projected lines

Toronto Maple Leafs
First line
  • CAuston Matthews
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
    Total Points1.5Over+17536.4%Under-24070.6%
    Total Shots on Goal3.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
  • LWEaston Cowan
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26072.2%
    Total Points0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
  • RWJack Roslovic
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+21032.3%Under-28574.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-16562.3%Under+12045.5%
  • DJake McCabe
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+34022.7%Under-50083.3%
    Total Points0.5Over+27526.7%Under-39079.6%
  • DDarren Raddysh
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
    Total Points0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
Second line
  • CNick Paul
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+23529.9%Under-33076.7%
    Total Points0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
  • LWKirill Marchenko
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16562.3%
    Total Points0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13043.5%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
  • RWWilliam Nylander
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
    Total Points0.5Over-21568.3%Under+15539.2%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
  • DMorgan Rielly
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+20033.3%Under-27573.3%
    Total Points0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20567.2%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
  • DTroy Stecher
Edmonton Oilers
First line
  • CConnor McDavid
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists1.5Over+15040.0%Under-20066.7%
    Total Points1.5Over-15560.8%Under+11546.5%
    Total Shots on Goal3.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
  • LWVasily Podkolzin
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23069.7%
    Total Points0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+14041.7%Under-19065.5%
  • RWLeon Draisaitl
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13043.5%
    Total Points1.5Over+10050.0%Under-14058.3%
    Total Shots on Goal3.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
  • DShakir Mukhamadullin
  • DEvan Bouchard
    Player props4 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-20066.7%Under+14540.8%
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over+11546.5%Under-16562.3%
    Total Points1.5Over+14540.8%Under-20066.7%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
Second line
  • CRyan Nugent-Hopkins
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
    Total Points0.5Over-16061.5%Under+11546.5%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
  • LWKasperi Kapanen
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+26527.4%Under-37078.7%
    Total Points0.5Over+14041.7%Under-18564.9%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10050.0%
  • RWZach Hyman
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+21032.3%Under-28574.0%
    Total Points0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
  • DRyan Shea
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28073.7%
    Total Points0.5Over+16038.5%Under-21568.3%
  • DConnor Murphy
    Player props1 market
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-20066.7%Under+14041.7%


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