NBA matchup
10/26/20268:00 PMPaycom CenterOklahoma City, OK

Suns1 – 3vsThunder4 – 1

Sharp side
✈️ Suns +8.5
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 221.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Phoenix Suns107.743.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder109.756.1%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Phoenix SunsC+B+B
Oklahoma City ThunderCAB
More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Paycom Center in Oklahoma CityThunder’s unbeaten start meets an injury test against PhoenixOklahoma City’s defense anchors its unbeaten start, but fresh injury concerns complicate a double-digit spread against Phoenix after Devin Booker’s 43-point night.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
PHX+260+8.5 (-110)
OKC-325-8.5 (-110)
Total 221.5Over -110Under -110
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
PHX+260+8.5 (-110)
OKC-325-8.5 (-110)
Total 221.5Over -110Under -110
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
PHX+270+8.5 (-109)
OKC-345-8.5 (-113)
Total 221.5Over -108Under -113
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
PHX+250+8.5 (-110)
OKC-320-8.5 (-110)
Total 221.5Over -110Under -110
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
PHX+260+8.0 (-110)
OKC-310-8.0 (-110)
Total 221.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
PHX+260+8.5 (-110)
OKC-320-8.5 (-108)
Total 221.5Over -105Under -115
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
PHX+275+8.5 (-110)
OKC-350-8.5 (-110)
Total 220.5Over -115Under +100
Kalshi
TeamMoneylineSpread
PHX+285—
OKC-300—
Total —Over —Under —
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
PHX+260+8.5 (-105)
OKC-320-8.5 (-115)
Total 221.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Phoenix Suns

Overall3–7–0W–L–TATS4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/24/26vs GSW 131–122L -9.5O 221.5
10/21/26@ PORL 83–124L +3.5U 232.5
4/27/26vs OKCL 122–131W +11.5O 215.5
4/25/26vs OKCL 109–121L +8.5O 211.5
4/22/26@ OKCL 107–120W +17.5O 216.5
4/19/26@ OKCL 84–119L +16.5U 216.5
4/17/26vs GSW 111–96W -2.5U 219.5
4/14/26vs PORL 110–114L -2.5O 215.5
4/12/26@ OKCW 135–103W +7.5O 213.5
4/10/26@ LALL 73–101L -2.5U 217.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Overall6–4–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/25/26vs LACW 108–101L -16.5U 223.5
10/22/26vs DENW 96–84W -7.5U 236.5
10/20/26@ SAW 116–104W -1.5U 229.5
5/30/26vs SAL 103–111L -3.5O 211.5
5/28/26@ SAL 91–118L +3.5U 218.5
5/26/26vs SAW 127–114W -3.5O 216.5
5/24/26@ SAL 82–103L +2.5U 219.5
5/22/26@ SAW 123–108W +3.5O 219.5
5/20/26vs SAW 122–113W -7.5O 213.5
5/18/26vs SAL 115–122L -7.5O 219.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Suns and Thunder
Statistic
39.1 (40.9)Field Goals Made39.7 (42.7)
13.8 (14.5)Three-Pointers Made12.4 (13.7)
15.6 (15.9)Free Throws Made17.9 (18.6)
43.0 (42.8)Rebounds43.6 (43.7)
23.3 (24.5)Assists23.7 (25.8)
9.3 (9.4)Steals9.3 (9.8)
4.2 (4.2)Blocks5.5 (5.5)
13.6 (13.5)Turnovers12.2 (12.0)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Phoenix Suns
Expected Starters
  • PGDevin Booker
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
    Total Assists5.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%
    Total Assists and Rebounds9.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points22.5Over-10952.2%Under-11753.9%
    Total Points and Assists28.5Over-10651.5%Under-12455.4%
    Total Points and Rebounds26.5Over-11854.1%Under-11152.6%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists32.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over+11945.7%Under-15761.1%
  • SGJalen Green
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-18965.4%Under+14241.3%
    Total Assists2.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
    Total Assists and Rebounds6.5Over-11753.9%Under-11252.8%
    Total Points14.5Over-12154.8%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points and Assists17.5Over-12655.8%Under-10451.0%
    Total Points and Rebounds18.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists21.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
  • SFDillon Brooks
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-15360.5%Under+11646.3%
    Total Assists1.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%
    Total Assists and Rebounds5.5Over+10149.8%Under-13357.1%
    Total Points15.5Over-10952.2%Under-11753.9%
    Total Points and Assists17.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points and Rebounds18.5Over-12655.8%Under-10451.0%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists20.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
  • PFMiles Bridges
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-12856.1%Under-10250.5%
    Total Assists2.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
    Total Points14.5Over-11052.4%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Assists17.5Over-10651.5%Under-12455.4%
    Total Points and Rebounds20.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists22.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
    Total Rebounds5.5Over-11353.1%Under-11653.7%
  • CKhaman Maluach
    Player props4 markets
    Total Blocks1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%
    Total Points7.5Over-10851.9%Under-11753.9%
    Total Points and Rebounds15.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
    Total Rebounds7.5Over-14158.5%Under+10748.3%
Relevant Bench
  • GCollin Gillespie
    Player props9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13941.8%Under-18564.9%
    Total Assists3.5Over-12054.5%Under-10952.2%
    Total Assists and Rebounds6.5Over-14459.0%Under+10947.8%
    Total Points9.5Over-10851.9%Under-11854.1%
    Total Points and Assists13.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
    Total Points and Rebounds12.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists16.5Over-12154.8%Under-10851.9%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over+11346.9%Under-14959.8%
    Total Steals1.5Over+15439.4%Under-20767.4%
  • GJordan Goodwin
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+15639.1%Under-20767.4%
    Total Points6.5Over-10451.0%Under-12255.0%
    Total Points and Rebounds10.5Over-11052.4%Under-11954.3%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-14158.5%Under+10748.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder
Expected Starters
  • PGShai Gilgeous-Alexander
    Player props9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
    Total Assists6.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
    Total Assists and Rebounds10.5Over-11854.1%Under-11152.6%
    Total Points30.5Over-12355.2%Under-10451.0%
    Total Points and Assists37.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Rebounds35.5Over-11353.1%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists41.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over+10748.3%Under-14158.5%
    Total Steals1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
  • SGCason Wallace
  • SFAlex Caruso
  • PFChet Holmgren
  • CIsaiah Hartenstein
    Player props7 markets
    Total Assists3.5Over+12145.2%Under-16061.5%
    Total Assists and Rebounds12.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points9.5Over-12555.6%Under-10250.5%
    Total Points and Assists13.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%
    Total Points and Rebounds19.5Over-11152.6%Under-11854.1%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists22.5Over-12856.1%Under-10350.7%
    Total Rebounds9.5Over-11353.1%Under-11653.7%
Relevant Bench
  • CAday Mara
    Player props3 markets
    Total Points6.5Over-11753.9%Under-10952.2%
    Total Points and Rebounds11.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over-12655.8%Under-10451.0%
  • GAjay Mitchell
    Player props9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+17736.1%Under-23770.3%
    Total Assists4.5Over+12444.6%Under-16362.0%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over+10449.0%Under-13757.8%
    Total Points16.5Over-10250.5%Under-12655.8%
    Total Points and Assists20.5Over-11453.3%Under-11553.5%
    Total Points and Rebounds20.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists24.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
    Total Steals1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
  • GJared McCain
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-11854.1%Under-11152.6%
    Total Assists1.5Over-15260.3%Under+11546.5%
    Total Assists and Rebounds4.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
    Total Points13.5Over-11753.9%Under-10952.2%
    Total Points and Assists15.5Over-11854.1%Under-11152.6%
    Total Points and Rebounds16.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists18.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
    Total Rebounds2.5Over-15360.5%Under+11646.3%
  • CJaylin Williams
    Player props7 markets
    Total Assists2.5Over-14959.8%Under+11346.9%
    Total Assists and Rebounds9.5Over-10952.2%Under-12054.5%
    Total Points7.5Over-12355.2%Under-10451.0%
    Total Points and Assists10.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
    Total Points and Rebounds14.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists20.5Over-11252.8%Under-11753.9%
    Total Rebounds6.5Over-10250.5%Under-12956.3%


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