NBA matchup
10/26/20268:00 PMFiserv ForumMilwaukee, WI

Pacers2 – 4vsBucks1 – 4

Sharp side
🏠 Bucks +3.5
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 238.5
Model value
Model trendMilwaukee Bucks games: +0.67 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Milwaukee Bucks went 3–2 (60.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.67 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Indiana Pacers110.334.6%
Milwaukee Bucks115.565.4%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Indiana PacersCD+C-
Milwaukee BucksCCC
More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Fiserv Forum in MilwaukeePacers bring hot shooting—and a quick turnaround—to MilwaukeeIndiana arrives after a 136-point outburst, but a back-to-back and Ivica Zubac’s ankle injury complicate the matchup. Milwaukee’s projected three-point production gives the winless Bucks a way to answer.Read analysis Editorial oil painting of Fiserv Forum in MilwaukeePacers Parlay Picks vs. Bucks: Side & Support Parlay PlaysSiakam’s 20 points, Nesmith’s ten and Nembhard’s 12 give you three scoring options to weigh with a Pacers win.Read analysis Editorial oil painting of Fiserv Forum in MilwaukeeBucks Parlay Picks vs. Pacers: Side & Support Parlay PlaysRollins points, Jaquez assists and Siakam scoring in Indiana losses offer three different ways to support a Bucks win.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
IND-166-3.5 (-115)
MIL+140+3.5 (-105)
Total 238.5Over -110Under -110
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
IND-165-3.5 (-115)
MIL+135+3.5 (-105)
Total 239.5Over -105Under -115
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
IND-157-3.5 (-109)
MIL+130+3.5 (-112)
Total 239.5Over -109Under -112
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
IND-165-3.5 (-115)
MIL+140+3.5 (-105)
Total 239.0Over -110Under -110
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
IND-165-4.0 (-110)
MIL+145+4.0 (-110)
Total 238.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
IND-172-3.5 (-105)
MIL+144+3.5 (-115)
Total 239.5Over -108Under -114
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
IND-170-3.5 (-110)
MIL+140+3.5 (-110)
Total 239.5Over +100Under -115
Kalshi
TeamMoneylineSpread
IND-144—
MIL+138—
Total —Over —Under —
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
IND-165-3.5 (-115)
MIL+140+3.5 (-105)
Total 238.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Indiana Pacers

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/25/26@ BKNW 136–109W -5.5O 231.5
10/23/26vs DALL 105–121L -7.5U 241.5
10/21/26@ NOW 123–120W -2.5O 238.5
4/12/26vs DETL 121–133W +16.5O 232.5
4/10/26vs PHIL 94–105W +14.5U 234.5
4/9/26@ BKNW 123–94W -3.5U 224.5
4/7/26vs MINL 104–124L +12.5U 234.5
4/5/26@ CLEL 108–117W +16.5U 240.5
4/3/26@ CHAL 108–129L +15.5O 234.5
4/1/26@ CHIW 145–126W +3.5O 246.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Milwaukee Bucks

Overall2–8–0W–L–TATS4–6–0W–L–PO/U9–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/24/26@ PHIL 116–127W +12.5O 234.5
10/23/26vs CHIL 125–132L -1.5O 241.5
10/21/26@ WSHL 116–128L +4.5O 239.5
4/12/26@ PHIL 106–126L +16.5O 225.5
4/10/26vs BKNW 125–108W -10.5O 218.5
4/8/26@ DETL 111–137L +22.5O 222.5
4/7/26@ BKNL 90–96L -1.5U 218.5
4/5/26vs MEMW 131–115W -7.5O 230.5
4/3/26vs BOSL 101–133L +17.5O 217.5
4/1/26@ HOUL 113–119W +19.5O 216.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pacers and Bucks
Statistic
40.0 (41.0)Field Goals Made42.6 (40.7)
13.0 (13.3)Three-Pointers Made15.8 (15.1)
17.3 (17.3)Free Throws Made14.4 (14.1)
42.9 (41.7)Rebounds42.8 (40.9)
27.1 (27.9)Assists26.8 (25.7)
7.4 (7.5)Steals7.3 (7.3)
4.7 (4.6)Blocks4.3 (3.9)
14.0 (13.9)Turnovers14.4 (14.7)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Indiana Pacers
Expected Starters
  • PGTyrese Haliburton
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
    Total Assists10.5Over+10349.3%Under-13557.4%
    Total Assists and Rebounds13.5Over-13357.1%Under+10149.8%
    Total Points19.5Over-12054.5%Under-10651.5%
    Total Points and Assists30.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points and Rebounds23.5Over-11653.7%Under-11353.1%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists33.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-11252.8%Under-11753.9%
  • SGAndrew Nembhard
  • SFAaron Nesmith
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-14258.7%Under+10848.1%
    Total Points11.5Over-11252.8%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points and Rebounds14.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over+11646.3%Under-15360.5%
  • PFPascal Siakam
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13757.8%
    Total Assists3.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
    Total Assists and Rebounds10.5Over-11152.6%Under-11854.1%
    Total Points24.5Over-10651.5%Under-12054.5%
    Total Points and Assists27.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points and Rebounds31.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists34.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
    Total Rebounds6.5Over-13056.5%Under-10150.2%
  • CIvica Zubac
Relevant Bench
  • FJarace Walker
    Player props3 markets
    Total Points8.5Over+10149.8%Under-12956.3%
    Total Points and Rebounds12.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
  • CJay Huff
    Player props3 markets
    Total Points10.5Over-11553.5%Under-11152.6%
    Total Points and Rebounds15.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over-10350.7%Under-12856.1%
  • FKelly Oubre Jr.
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%
    Total Points10.5Over-12355.2%Under-10451.0%
    Total Points and Rebounds15.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over+10149.8%Under-13357.1%
  • FObi Toppin
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17363.4%Under+13143.3%
    Total Points14.5Over-10150.2%Under-12655.8%
    Total Points and Rebounds19.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
    Total Rebounds5.5Over-11854.1%Under-11152.6%
Milwaukee Bucks
Expected Starters
  • PGRyan Rollins
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17563.6%Under+13243.1%
    Total Assists4.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
    Total Points14.5Over-12054.5%Under-10651.5%
    Total Points and Assists19.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points and Rebounds19.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists23.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over+12145.2%Under-16061.5%
  • SGTyler Herro
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
    Total Assists4.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
    Total Points22.5Over-11954.3%Under-10751.7%
    Total Points and Assists27.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
    Total Points and Rebounds27.5Over-11252.8%Under-11753.9%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists31.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
  • SFJaime Jaquez Jr.
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+16737.5%Under-22369.0%
    Total Assists3.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
    Total Assists and Rebounds9.5Over-14158.5%Under+10748.3%
    Total Points16.5Over-11753.9%Under-10952.2%
    Total Points and Assists20.5Over-11553.5%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points and Rebounds22.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists26.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
    Total Rebounds6.5Over+11546.5%Under-15160.2%
  • PFKyle Kuzma
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+14540.8%Under-19265.8%
    Total Assists2.5Over-15660.9%Under+11945.7%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
    Total Points12.5Over-10851.9%Under-11854.1%
    Total Points and Assists15.5Over-11252.8%Under-11753.9%
    Total Points and Rebounds18.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists21.5Over-11052.4%Under-11954.3%
    Total Rebounds5.5Over-12655.8%Under-10451.0%
  • CMyles Turner
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
    Total Points10.5Over-12555.6%Under-10250.5%
    Total Points and Rebounds16.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
    Total Rebounds5.5Over+10249.5%Under-13457.3%
Relevant Bench
  • GKasparas Jakucionis
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+17136.9%Under-22869.5%
    Total Assists2.5Over-15660.9%Under+11845.9%
    Total Assists and Rebounds5.5Over-15060.0%Under+11446.7%
    Total Points7.5Over-12154.8%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points and Assists10.5Over-12755.9%Under-10350.7%
    Total Points and Rebounds10.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists14.5Over-10150.2%Under-13056.5%
    Total Rebounds2.5Over-16662.4%Under+12644.2%
  • CKel'el Ware
    Player props3 markets
    Total Points10.5Over-11453.3%Under-11252.8%
    Total Points and Rebounds17.5Over-12154.8%Under-10851.9%
    Total Rebounds7.5Over+10249.5%Under-13457.3%


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