NHL matchup
10/26/20268:30 PMScotiabank SaddledomeCalgary, AB

Maple Leafs7 – 6 – 2vsFlames6 – 7 – 0

Sharp side
✈️ Maple Leafs -135
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 6.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Toronto Maple Leafs3.457.6%
Calgary Flames2.942.4%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Toronto Maple LeafsC+B-B-
Calgary FlamesD-CD+
More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary.Maple Leafs vs. Flames: Two winning streaks, different goaltending questionsToronto brings four straight wins to Calgary, where the Flames have won three in a row. The goaltending behind those streaks adds a wrinkle to the moneyline and 6.5-goal total.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR-135-1.5 (+164)
CGY+114+1.5 (-198)
Total 6.5Over -120Under +100
BetMGM
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR-140-1.5 (+165)
CGY+118+1.5 (-200)
Total 6.5Over -120Under +100
BetRivers
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR-141-1.5 (+165)
CGY+118+1.5 (-210)
Total 6.5Over -121Under -104
Caesars
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR-139-1.5 (+167)
CGY+117+1.5 (-200)
Total 6.5Over -125Under +102
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR-129-1.5 (+180)
CGY+116+1.5 (-210)
Total 6.5Over -115Under -105
FanDuel
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR-142-1.5 (+160)
CGY+118+1.5 (-200)
Total 6.5Over -120Under +100
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR-140-1.5 (+160)
CGY+120+1.5 (-210)
Total 6.5Over -120Under +100
Kalshi
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR-127—
CGY+122—
Total —Over —Under —
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR-135-1.5 (+170)
CGY+115+1.5 (-210)
Total 6.5Over -120Under +100
Recent form

Last 10 games

Toronto Maple Leafs

Overall6–4–0W–L–TPuck Line7–3–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/24/26@ EDMW 7–2W +1.5O 6.5
10/22/26vs NYRW 5–4W +1.5O 6.5
10/20/26@ CBJW 6–2W +1.5O 6.5
10/19/26vs SJW 3–1W -1.5U 6.5
10/17/26vs NYIL 1–4L -1.5U 6.5
10/15/26vs BUFL 4–5L -1.5O 6.5
10/13/26@ UTAHL 4–5W +1.5O 6.5
10/10/26@ COLW 6–3W +1.5O 6.5
10/8/26@ VGKL 3–4W +1.5O 6.5
10/6/26vs NSHW 5–4L -1.5O 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Calgary Flames

Overall4–6–0W–L–TPuck Line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/24/26vs DETW 4–1W +1.5U 5.5
10/22/26vs MINW 2–1W +1.5U 6.5
10/18/26vs CARW 3–2W +1.5U 6.5
10/15/26@ VGKL 2–6L +1.5O 6.5
10/13/26@ ANAW 4–2W +1.5U 6.5
10/10/26vs ANAL 2–4L +1.5U 6.5
10/8/26vs COLL 3–7L +1.5O 6.5
10/4/26@ SEAL 1–6L +1.5O 5.5
10/3/26@ VANL 1–4L +1.5U 6.5
10/1/26vs SEAL 1–6L -1.5O 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Maple Leafs and Flames
Statistic
26.6 (26.5)Shots28.3 (28.2)
21.9 (22.0)Hits19.9 (20.1)
15.4 (15.1)Blocked Shots15.0 (15.1)
30.5 (30.2)Faceoffs Won28.5 (28.4)
2.5 (2.5)Power Play Opportunities2.6 (2.6)
4.7 (4.6)Takeaways4.5 (4.5)
16.0 (16.2)Giveaways16.8 (16.7)
3.8 (3.8)Penalties3.9 (3.9)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

Maple LeafsSergei BobrovskyConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves26.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
FlamesDevin CooleyConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves26.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
Lineup context

Projected lines

Toronto Maple Leafs
First line
  • CAuston Matthews
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
    Total Points1.5Over+15040.0%Under-20567.2%
    Total Shots on Goal3.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
  • LWEaston Cowan
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+18535.1%Under-25071.4%
    Total Points0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-14559.2%Under+10548.8%
  • RWJack Roslovic
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27073.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-18564.9%Under+14041.7%
  • DJake McCabe
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+31024.4%Under-45081.8%
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-19566.1%Under+14041.7%
    Total Points0.5Over+25528.2%Under-36078.3%
  • DDarren Raddysh
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
    Total Points0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
Second line
  • CNick Paul
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+25028.6%Under-35077.8%
    Total Points0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
  • LWKirill Marchenko
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
    Total Points0.5Over-20066.7%Under+14540.8%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
  • RWWilliam Nylander
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points1.5Over+17037.0%Under-23069.7%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
  • DMorgan Rielly
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23570.1%
    Total Points0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14559.2%
  • DTroy Stecher
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+75011.8%Under-140093.3%
    Total Points0.5Over+47517.4%Under-75088.2%
Calgary Flames
First line
  • CMikael Backlund
  • LWJoel Farabee
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20066.7%
    Total Points0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
  • RWMatt Coronato
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20567.2%
    Total Points0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10050.0%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%
  • DKevin Bahl
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+23030.3%Under-32076.2%
    Total Points0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26072.2%
  • DSimon Nemec
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+23030.3%Under-32076.2%
    Total Points0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21067.7%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Second line
  • CMorgan Frost
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20567.2%
    Total Points0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-15060.0%Under+11047.6%
  • LWYegor Sharangovich
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+25028.6%Under-35077.8%
    Total Points0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-16562.3%Under+12544.4%
  • RWAydar Suniev
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+23529.9%Under-33076.7%
    Total Points0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
  • DJake Middleton
  • DZach Whitecloud
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+55015.4%Under-90090.0%
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-13557.4%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points0.5Over+39020.4%Under-57585.2%


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