MLB matchup

10/27/20268:00 PMTropicana FieldSt. Petersburg, FL

Brewers103 – 59vsRays98 – 64

Sharp side

🏠 Rays +106

Model value

Model trendMilwaukee Brewers games: +4.31 units on model side bets rated 3 stars or better during the current streak

Model side bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Milwaukee Brewers are on a 5-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 4.31 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↓ Under 7.5

Model value

Model trendTampa Bay Rays games: +4.73 units on model total bets rated 3 stars or better this season

Model total bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Tampa Bay Rays went 12–6 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 4.73 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Milwaukee Brewers	3.2	45.8%
Tampa Bay Rays	3.6	54.2%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Pitching	Overall
Milwaukee Brewers	A-	B	B+
Tampa Bay Rays	B+	B+	B+

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, with abstract figures and unmarked surfaces.

Brewers Parlay Picks vs. Rays: Side & Support Parlay PlaysThree props to compare with a Brewers win: modest combined batting lines for Contreras and Mitchell, plus Griffin Jax over 3.5 hits allowed.Read analysis

Rays Parlay Picks vs. Brewers: Side & Support Parlay PlaysTwo Rays batting options and a Sal Frelick runs under to weigh alongside Tampa Bay staying alive in World Series Game 4.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL-118-1.5 (+141)

TB+106+1.5 (-171)

Total 7.5Over +102Under -122

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL-120-1.5 (+140)

TB+100+1.5 (-170)

Total 7.0Over -120Under +100

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL-124-1.5 (+140)

TB+105+1.5 (-175)

Total 7.0Over -117Under -104

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL-122-1.5 (+143)

TB+105+1.5 (-165)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL-114-1.5 (+145)

TB+104+1.5 (-165)

Total 7.0Over -125Under +105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL-120-1.5 (+140)

TB+100+1.5 (-170)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL-120-1.5 (+136)

TB+106+1.5 (-164)

Total 7.5Over +106Under -130

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL-120-1.5 (+140)

TB+100+1.5 (-165)

Total 7.5Over +110Under -125

Kalshi

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL-113—

TB+108—

Total —Over —Under —

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL-124-1.5 (+145)

TB+111+1.5 (-175)

Total 7.5Over +120Under -145

Recent form

Last 10 games

Milwaukee Brewers

Overall9–1–0W–L–TRun Line8–2–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
10/26/26	@ TB	W 10–1	W -1.5	O 7
10/24/26	vs TB	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
10/23/26	vs TB	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 6.5
10/15/26	@ LAD	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 8
10/14/26	@ LAD	W 6–2	W +1.5	O 7
10/12/26	vs LAD	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
10/11/26	vs LAD	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 6
10/7/26	@ SD	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
10/6/26	@ SD	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 7.5
10/4/26	vs SD	W 4–3	L -1.5	P 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun Line7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
10/26/26	vs MIL	L 1–10	L +1.5	O 7
10/24/26	@ MIL	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 6.5
10/23/26	@ MIL	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 6.5
10/19/26	vs CLE	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 7
10/18/26	@ CLE	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 6
10/17/26	@ CLE	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 6.5
10/15/26	@ CLE	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 6.5
10/13/26	vs CLE	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 6.5
10/12/26	vs CLE	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 6.5
10/7/26	@ NYY	W 4–3	W +1.5	P 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Brewers and Rays
	Statistic
7.2 (8.8)	Hits	7.8 (8.6)
1.3 (1.7)	Doubles	1.3 (1.4)
0.7 (1.0)	Home Runs	0.8 (1.0)
10.8 (13.6)	Total Bases	11.8 (13.3)
3.7 (4.1)	Walks	2.9 (3.1)
8.8 (8.5)	Strikeouts	7.3 (7.1)
0.9 (1.0)	Stolen Bases	0.9 (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BrewersDustin MayConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%

Total Hits Allowed2.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%

Total Outs Recorded8.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%

Total Strikeouts2.5Over+11845.9%Under-15160.2%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%

RaysGriffin JaxConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14358.8%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%

Total Outs Recorded10.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-12054.5%Under-10651.5%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18264.5%

Starting lineups

Milwaukee BrewersConfirmed

1Jackson ChourioLF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38820.5%Under-59885.7%
Total Hits1.5Over+18235.5%Under-24771.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25271.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14759.5%Under+10648.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+33523.0%Under-50583.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
2Jake Bauers1B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43718.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-14859.7%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35878.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11945.7%Under-16562.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
3Christian YelichDH
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43618.7%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-19165.6%Under+14341.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20932.4%Under-30075.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-120092.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
4William ContrerasC
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41619.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22869.5%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
5Brice Turang2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40020.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+52815.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
6Sal FrelickRF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55015.4%Under-91090.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38479.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-130092.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38679.4%
7Cooper PrattSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53315.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25428.2%Under-37078.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37879.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
8Garrett MitchellCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59814.3%Under-100090.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38379.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+45518.0%Under-72087.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31175.7%
9David Hamilton3B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+72012.2%Under-126092.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10350.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30924.4%Under-46082.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32576.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+31324.2%Under-46882.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31124.3%Under-46482.3%

Tampa Bay RaysConfirmed

1Yandy DiazDH
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16362.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57185.1%
Total Hits1.5Over+19134.4%Under-26072.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35377.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16662.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12344.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
2Jonathan Aranda1B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+15239.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39120.4%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21167.8%Under+15738.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13357.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40780.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10651.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
3Junior Caminero3B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44118.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-21468.2%Under+15938.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13156.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
4Liam HicksC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46817.6%Under-75088.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18564.9%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14759.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33977.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22569.2%
5Jonny DeLucaCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45518.0%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25927.9%Under-37979.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29925.1%Under-44481.6%
6Chandler SimpsonLF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+16637.6%Under-22469.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47317.5%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-23069.7%Under+17037.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28026.3%Under-41380.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11446.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+26127.7%Under-38279.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31224.3%Under-46582.3%
7Ryan ViladeRF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51216.3%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36978.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29174.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32876.6%
8Richie Palacios2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56815.0%Under-94090.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32623.5%Under-48983.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+24129.3%Under-35077.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53215.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38779.5%
9Taylor WallsSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+76011.6%Under-136093.2%
Total Hits0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+36021.7%Under-54884.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34377.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22769.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+61014.1%Under-104091.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%

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