NHL matchup

10/28/20267:30 PMCapital One ArenaWashington, DC

Flyers3 – 7 – 4vsCapitals6 – 4 – 0

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendPhiladelphia Flyers games: +4.80 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Philadelphia Flyers went 10–4 (71.4%) this season, for an estimated profit of 4.80 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendPhiladelphia Flyers games: +3.15 units on model total bets during the current streak

Model total bets in games featuring Philadelphia Flyers are on a 4-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 3.15 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Skaters	Goalie	Overall
Philadelphia Flyers	D	C	C-
Washington Capitals	B	B	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

PHI+190+1.5 (-130)

WSH-230-1.5 (+110)

Total 6.5Over +105Under -125

Recent form

Last 3 games

Philadelphia Flyers

Overall1–2–0W–L–TPuck Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/27/26	vs CBJ	L 3–4	W +1.5	O 5.5
10/24/26	vs ANA	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 5.5
10/21/26	@ BUF	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Washington Capitals

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/24/26	vs BUF	W 4–3	L -1.5	O 6.5
10/20/26	vs LA	L 2–5	L -1.5	O 5.5
10/17/26	vs NJ	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Flyers and Capitals
	Statistic
24.7 (25.2)	Shots	28.0 (27.8)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

FlyersJoseph WollExpected

CapitalsLogan ThompsonInjured ReserveExpected

Thompson (lower body) participated in Monday's practice and remains day-to-day ahead of Wednesday's home matchup against Philadelphia, per Sammi Silber of The District Standard.

Updated: Oct 26, 2026 at 12:22 PM EDT

Lineup context

Projected lines

Philadelphia Flyers

First line

CChristian Dvorak
Player props1 of 2 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+27526.7%Under-39079.6%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
LWTrevor Zegras
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25071.4%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
DTravis Sanheim
Player props1 market
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16562.3%
DOliver Bonk

Washington Capitals

First line

CDylan Strome
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
LWAlex Tuch
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+20033.3%Under-27573.3%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
RWJordan Kyrou
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+14540.8%Under-19566.1%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
DJakob Chychrun
Player props1 of 2 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
DMatt Roy

Player availability

Injury report

Philadelphia Flyers

RWNikita GrebenkinBackInjured Reserve
Grebenkin (back) underwent successful surgery and is expected to miss at least four months.
Updated: Oct 10, 2026 at 12:58 PM EDT
RWOwen TippettUpper BodyInjured Reserve
Tippett (upper body) was placed on injured reserve Monday, per the NHL media site.
Updated: Oct 19, 2026 at 1:54 PM EDT
DRasmus RistolainenHandInjured Reserve
Ristolainen (hand) was placed on injured reserve, retroactive to Oct. 24, on Tuesday.
Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 10:26 AM EDT

Washington Capitals

GLogan ThompsonLower BodyInjured Reserve
Thompson (lower body) participated in Monday's practice and remains day-to-day ahead of Wednesday's home matchup against Philadelphia, per Sammi Silber of The District Standard.
Updated: Oct 26, 2026 at 12:22 PM EDT
CPatrick ThomasUpper BodyInjured Reserve
DRasmus SandinKneeInjured Reserve
Sandin (knee) was placed on long-term injured reserve Monday.
Updated: Oct 12, 2026 at 10:27 AM EDT