Rockets5 – 0vsMavericks3 – 2

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendHouston Rockets games: +0.72 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Houston Rockets went 3–2 (60.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.72 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Houston Rockets	C+	A-	B
Dallas Mavericks	B-	D+	C

Sportsbook context

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

HOU-218-5.5 (-115)

DAL+180+5.5 (-105)

Total 226.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/28/26	@ MIL	W 132–100	W -8.5	O 226.5
10/26/26	vs ATL	W 120–110	W -4.5	O 228.5
10/24/26	@ ATL	W 121–114	W -1.5	O 227.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U0–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/28/26	vs OKC	W 120–96	W +4.5	U 227.5
10/26/26	@ MIA	W 113–109	W +7.5	U 240.5
10/24/26	vs SA	L 106–122	L +14.5	U 229.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rockets and Mavericks
	Statistic
43.8 (42.5)	Field Goals Made	40.9 (42.1)

Lineup context

Houston Rockets

Expected Starters

PGFred VanVleet
SGAmen Thompson
SFKevin Durant
PFJabari Smith Jr.
CAlperen SengunDay-To-Day
Sengun (back) is questionable for Friday's game against the Mavericks.
Updated: Oct 29, 2026 at 4:34 PM EDT

Dallas Mavericks

Expected Starters

Player availability

Houston Rockets

GMarcus SmartForearmOut
Smart (forearm) is questionable for Friday's game against the Mavericks.
Updated: Oct 29, 2026 at 4:35 PM EDT
GReed SheppardBackOut
Sheppard (back) is out for Friday's game against the Mavericks.
Updated: Oct 29, 2026 at 4:36 PM EDT
CSteven AdamsCalfOut
Head coach Ime Udoka said Monday that Adams could be out "a week or two" due to his right soleus strain, Lachard Binkley of SI.com reports.
Updated: Oct 26, 2026 at 6:52 PM EDT

Dallas Mavericks

CDereck Lively IIFootOut
Lively (foot) has been ruled out for Friday's game against the Pacers.
Updated: Oct 22, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT
FSanti AldamaKneeOut
Aldama (knee) is listed as doubtful for Friday's game against Houston.
Updated: Oct 29, 2026 at 6:07 PM EDT
FSergio de LarreaKneeOut
De Larrea (knee) is out for Friday's game against the Rockets.
Updated: Oct 29, 2026 at 6:06 PM EDT