Pacers2 – 3vsHeat1 – 4

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendMiami Heat games: +0.63 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Miami Heat went 3–2 (60.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.63 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendMiami Heat games: +0.73 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Miami Heat went 3–2 (60.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.73 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Indiana Pacers	C	D	D+
Miami Heat	B	C	B-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

IND+225+7.5 (-115)

MIA-278-7.5 (-105)

Total 236.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 3 games

Indiana Pacers

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/28/26	vs PHI	L 109–114	W +7.5	U 234.5
10/26/26	@ MIL	L 102–110	L -3.5	U 239.5
10/25/26	@ BKN	W 136–109	W -5.5	O 231.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Miami Heat

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/28/26	@ ATL	W 129–117	W +2.5	O 243.5
10/26/26	vs DAL	L 109–113	L -7.5	U 240.5
10/24/26	@ CHA	L 110–115	L -4.5	U 227.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pacers and Heat
	Statistic
39.8 (40.9)	Field Goals Made	46.0 (43.4)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Indiana Pacers

Expected Starters

PGTyrese HaliburtonOut
Haliburton (hamstring) will miss at least the next two weeks of action, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
Updated: Oct 28, 2026 at 5:30 PM EDT
SGAndrew NembhardDay-To-Day
Nembhard (neck) is listed as probable for Friday's game against Miami.
Updated: Oct 29, 2026 at 5:08 PM EDT
SFAaron NesmithDay-To-Day
Nesmith (hamstring) is probable for Friday's game against the Heat.
Updated: Oct 29, 2026 at 5:07 PM EDT
PFPascal Siakam
CIvica ZubacOut
Zubac (ankle) is out for Friday's game against the Heat.
Updated: Oct 29, 2026 at 5:04 PM EDT

Miami Heat

Expected Starters

PGDavion Mitchell
SGKlay Thompson
SFAndrew Wiggins
PFGiannis Antetokounmpo
CBam Adebayo

Player availability

Injury report

Indiana Pacers

GBen SheppardKneeOut
Head coach Rick Carlise confirmed Sheppard will miss "months" after undergoing surgery to repair a torn meniscus in his left knee, Tony East of Forbes.com reports.
Updated: Oct 28, 2026 at 5:41 PM EDT
CIvica ZubacAnkleOut
Zubac (ankle) is out for Friday's game against the Heat.
Updated: Oct 29, 2026 at 5:04 PM EDT
GJohnny FurphyKneeOut
Furphy was diagnosed with a torn right ACL on Monday and will miss the remainder of the season, Michael Scotto of USA Today reports.
Updated: Feb 9, 2026 at 4:43 PM EST

Miami Heat

FSimone FontecchioIllnessDay-To-Day
Fontecchio (illness) is listed as questionable for Friday's game against Indiana.
Updated: Oct 29, 2026 at 4:48 PM EDT