CFB matchup
10/31/20267:30 PMDKR-Texas Memorial StadiumAustin, TX

Mississippi State4 – 3vsTexas5 – 2

Sharp side
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Model value
Model trendTexas Longhorns games: +5.38 units on model side bets during the current streak

Model side bets in games featuring Texas Longhorns are on a 6-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 5.38 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
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Model value
Model trendMississippi State Bulldogs games: +0.80 units on model total bets in the past month

Model total bets in games featuring Mississippi State Bulldogs went 2–1 (66.7%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 0.80 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Mississippi State BulldogsABB+
Texas LonghornsAA+A+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
MSST+850+20.5 (-115)
TEX-1450-20.5 (-105)
Total 50.5Over -115Under -105
Recent form

Last 3 games

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Overall0–3–0W–L–TATS0–3–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/24/26vs OUL 15–23L +1.5U 49.5
10/17/26@ LSUL 0–31L +17.5U 56.5
10/3/26vs ALAL 23–56L +5.5O 62.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Texas Longhorns

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/24/26vs MISSW 34–27W -3O 54.5
10/17/26vs FLAL 24–27L -13.5U 51.5
10/10/26vs OUL 24–27L -7.5O 40.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Mississippi State and Texas
Statistic
320.8 (415.1)Total Yards403.6 (386.0)



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