CFB matchup
10/31/202610:00 PMAlbertsons StadiumBoise, ID

Texas State4 – 3vsBoise State6 – 1

Sharp side
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Model value
Model trendBoise State Broncos games: +0.80 units on model side bets in the past month

Model side bets in games featuring Boise State Broncos went 2–1 (66.7%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 0.80 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
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Model value
Model trendBoise State Broncos games: +3.63 units on model total bets during the current streak

Model total bets in games featuring Boise State Broncos are on a 4-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 3.63 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Texas State BobcatsBCC+
Boise State BroncosBBB
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
TXST+340+11.5 (-112)
BOIS-440-11.5 (-108)
Total 64.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 3 games

Texas State Bobcats

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/24/26vs USUW 20–17L -14.5U 58.5
10/15/26vs CSUW 66–27W -15.5O 69.5
10/3/26@ SDSUL 29–31L -10O 57.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Boise State Broncos

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/24/26@ WSUW 31–10W -14.5U 52.5
10/10/26@ FRESW 38–31L -8.5O 48.5
10/3/26vs USUW 37–18L -19.5O 50.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Texas State and Boise State
Statistic
417.4 (488.9)Total Yards461.5 (414.4)



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