NFL matchup
11/01/20264:25 PMHard Rock StadiumMiami Gardens, FL

Patriots4 – 3vsDolphins1 – 5

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendNew England Patriots games: +1.79 units on model side bets in the past month

Model side bets in games featuring New England Patriots went 3–1 (75.0%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 1.79 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value
Model trendMiami Dolphins games: +0.85 units on model total bets in the past month

Model total bets in games featuring Miami Dolphins went 2–1 (66.7%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 0.85 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
New England PatriotsB+BB
Miami DolphinsCD+C-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
NE-340-7.0 (-108)
MIA+270+7.0 (-112)
Total 43.5Over -118Under -102
Recent form

Last 3 games

New England Patriots

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/22/26@ CHIL 24–30L +3O 50.5
10/18/26vs NYJW 26–19L -7.5O 42.5
10/11/26vs LVW 45–17W -8.5O 51.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Miami Dolphins

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/25/26@ NYJW 28–25W +3.5O 39.5
10/11/26vs CINL 24–31W +7.5O 45.5
10/4/26@ MINL 10–15W +10U 38.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Patriots and Dolphins
Statistic
366.1 (370.8)Total Yards308.7 (305.5)

Projected depth chart

Expected offensive personnel

New England Patriots
  • QBDrake Maye
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Pass Completions20.5
  • RBRhamondre Stevenson
    Player props1 of 5 markets
    Total Carries10.5
  • RBTreVeyon Henderson
    Player props1 market
    Total Rushing Yards28.5
  • WRA.J. Brown
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards55.5
  • WRDeMario Douglas
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards30.5
  • WREfton Chism III
  • TEHunter Henry
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards39.5
Miami Dolphins
  • QBMalik Willis
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Pass Completions16.5
  • RBOllie Gordon II
    Player props1 of 5 markets
    Total Carries15.5
  • RBJaylen WrightQuestionable
    Wright (quadriceps) left Sunday's game against the Jets and did not return to the contest.
    Updated: Oct 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT
    Player props1 market
    Total Rushing Yards16.5
  • WRMalik Washington
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards40.5
  • WRCaleb Douglas
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards39.5
  • WRChris Bell
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards16.5
  • TEGreg Dulcich
    Player props1 market
    Total Receptions3.5

Player availability

Injury report

New England Patriots
  • CBen BrownKneeQuestionable
  • CBCarlton Davis IIINeckQuestionable
  • CBChanning CanadaHamstringQuestionable
Miami Dolphins
  • RBJaylen WrightQuadricepsQuestionable
    Wright (quadriceps) left Sunday's game against the Jets and did not return to the contest.
    Updated: Oct 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT
  • CBReese TaylorQuadricepsQuestionable
  • DERobert Beal Jr.HamstringQuestionable

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial


Up next

More NFL matchups

Welcome back